Recent European model guidance from the ECMWF and DWD ensembles has converged on a Munich maximum of 32–33°C for June 21, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins. Clear skies, light easterly flow, and modest downslope warming from the Alps favor efficient surface heating without significant cloud suppression or mixing. Ensemble spread remains narrow but allows for 1°C differences tied to minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or the precise timing of peak insolation. Historical June extremes in southern Bavaria rarely exceed 34°C absent a strong Föhn event, supporting the low probabilities assigned to 35°C and higher while leaving room for last-minute adjustments from updated short-range runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Munich on June 21?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 21?
33°C 38%
34°C 27%
32°C 24%
35°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 juin 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
24%
33°C
38%
34°C
27%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 38%
34°C 27%
32°C 24%
35°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 juin 2026
29°C or below
$281 Vol.
1%
30°C
$127 Vol.
1%
31°C
$403 Vol.
4%
32°C
$559 Vol.
24%
33°C
$352 Vol.
38%
34°C
$256 Vol.
27%
35°C
$344 Vol.
7%
36°C
$228 Vol.
1%
37°C
$210 Vol.
1%
38°C
$597 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$601 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model guidance from the ECMWF and DWD ensembles has converged on a Munich maximum of 32–33°C for June 21, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins. Clear skies, light easterly flow, and modest downslope warming from the Alps favor efficient surface heating without significant cloud suppression or mixing. Ensemble spread remains narrow but allows for 1°C differences tied to minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or the precise timing of peak insolation. Historical June extremes in southern Bavaria rarely exceed 34°C absent a strong Föhn event, supporting the low probabilities assigned to 35°C and higher while leaving room for last-minute adjustments from updated short-range runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$3,958Date de fin
21 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model guidance from the ECMWF and DWD ensembles has converged on a Munich maximum of 32–33°C for June 21, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins. Clear skies, light easterly flow, and modest downslope warming from the Alps favor efficient surface heating without significant cloud suppression or mixing. Ensemble spread remains narrow but allows for 1°C differences tied to minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or the precise timing of peak insolation. Historical June extremes in southern Bavaria rarely exceed 34°C absent a strong Föhn event, supporting the low probabilities assigned to 35°C and higher while leaving room for last-minute adjustments from updated short-range runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,958Date de fin
21 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model guidance from the ECMWF and DWD ensembles has converged on a Munich maximum of 32–33°C for June 21, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins. Clear skies, light easterly flow, and modest downslope warming from the Alps favor efficient surface heating without significant cloud suppression or mixing. Ensemble spread remains narrow but allows for 1°C differences tied to minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or the precise timing of peak insolation. Historical June extremes in southern Bavaria rarely exceed 34°C absent a strong Föhn event, supporting the low probabilities assigned to 35°C and higher while leaving room for last-minute adjustments from updated short-range runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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