Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and European ensembles show Paris under a building heat dome with southerly flow advecting warm air from the Iberian Peninsula and North Africa. Consensus maximum temperatures cluster tightly around 35–37 °C for June 19, with MeteoArt/Meteored and Meteocanada runs centering on 36–37 °C while BBC guidance leans slightly cooler at 35 °C amid possible scattered thundery showers. These small spreads reflect typical short-range model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and exact steering of the upper-level ridge. Official observations at Paris-Montsouris will be decisive; any earlier or more widespread convection could shave 1–2 °C from the peak, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would favor the upper end of the range. Trader probabilities therefore mirror the narrow forecast envelope rather than any single outlier run.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Paris on June 19?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 19?
36°C 35%
37°C 34%
38°C 15%
35°C 11%
NOUVEAU
$17,528 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$17,528 Vol.
19 juin 2026
33°C or below
1%
34°C
7%
35°C
11%
36°C
35%
37°C
34%
38°C
15%
39°C
3%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 35%
37°C 34%
38°C 15%
35°C 11%
NOUVEAU
$17,528 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$17,528 Vol.
19 juin 2026
33°C or below
$2,680 Vol.
1%
34°C
$3,174 Vol.
7%
35°C
$2,918 Vol.
11%
36°C
$1,592 Vol.
35%
37°C
$2,067 Vol.
34%
38°C
$1,908 Vol.
15%
39°C
$1,372 Vol.
3%
40°C
$315 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$492 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$574 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$436 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and European ensembles show Paris under a building heat dome with southerly flow advecting warm air from the Iberian Peninsula and North Africa. Consensus maximum temperatures cluster tightly around 35–37 °C for June 19, with MeteoArt/Meteored and Meteocanada runs centering on 36–37 °C while BBC guidance leans slightly cooler at 35 °C amid possible scattered thundery showers.
These small spreads reflect typical short-range model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and exact steering of the upper-level ridge. Official observations at Paris-Montsouris will be decisive; any earlier or more widespread convection could shave 1–2 °C from the peak, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would favor the upper end of the range. Trader probabilities therefore mirror the narrow forecast envelope rather than any single outlier run.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 17, 2026, 2:01 AM ET
Volume
$17,528Date de fin
19 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2026, 2:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and European ensembles show Paris under a building heat dome with southerly flow advecting warm air from the Iberian Peninsula and North Africa. Consensus maximum temperatures cluster tightly around 35–37 °C for June 19, with MeteoArt/Meteored and Meteocanada runs centering on 36–37 °C while BBC guidance leans slightly cooler at 35 °C amid possible scattered thundery showers.
These small spreads reflect typical short-range model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and exact steering of the upper-level ridge. Official observations at Paris-Montsouris will be decisive; any earlier or more widespread convection could shave 1–2 °C from the peak, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would favor the upper end of the range. Trader probabilities therefore mirror the narrow forecast envelope rather than any single outlier run.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,528Date de fin
19 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2026, 2:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and European ensembles show Paris under a building heat dome with southerly flow advecting warm air from the Iberian Peninsula and North Africa. Consensus maximum temperatures cluster tightly around 35–37 °C for June 19, with MeteoArt/Meteored and Meteocanada runs centering on 36–37 °C while BBC guidance leans slightly cooler at 35 °C amid possible scattered thundery showers. These small spreads reflect typical short-range model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and exact steering of the upper-level ridge. Official observations at Paris-Montsouris will be decisive; any earlier or more widespread convection could shave 1–2 °C from the peak, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would favor the upper end of the range. Trader probabilities therefore mirror the narrow forecast envelope rather than any single outlier run.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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