Recent forecasts highlight Shanghai's position in the Meiyu plum rain season, where persistent cloud cover and scattered showers sharply limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 27–29°C. This meteorological setup produces the tight clustering in market-implied odds, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, shower timing, or brief breaks in overcast skies can easily alter the daily peak by 1–2°C. Official guidance from regional models emphasizes these variables over the next several hours, with traders assigning the highest probabilities to 28°C (38.5%) and 27°C (29.5%) because even small changes in insolation or convective intensity differentiate those thresholds while higher outcomes remain unlikely under the prevailing humid, stabilized air mass.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 18?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 18?
28°C 38%
27°C 30%
29°C 23%
26°C 7.4%
NOUVEAU
$42,314 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$42,314 Vol.
18 juin 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
30%
28°C
38%
29°C
23%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 38%
27°C 30%
29°C 23%
26°C 7.4%
NOUVEAU
$42,314 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$42,314 Vol.
18 juin 2026
24°C or below
$3,629 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,500 Vol.
4%
26°C
$7,007 Vol.
7%
27°C
$8,824 Vol.
30%
28°C
$4,426 Vol.
38%
29°C
$2,994 Vol.
23%
30°C
$3,442 Vol.
5%
31°C
$2,491 Vol.
1%
32°C
$2,613 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,780 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$3,703 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts highlight Shanghai's position in the Meiyu plum rain season, where persistent cloud cover and scattered showers sharply limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 27–29°C. This meteorological setup produces the tight clustering in market-implied odds, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, shower timing, or brief breaks in overcast skies can easily alter the daily peak by 1–2°C. Official guidance from regional models emphasizes these variables over the next several hours, with traders assigning the highest probabilities to 28°C (38.5%) and 27°C (29.5%) because even small changes in insolation or convective intensity differentiate those thresholds while higher outcomes remain unlikely under the prevailing humid, stabilized air mass.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$42,314Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts highlight Shanghai's position in the Meiyu plum rain season, where persistent cloud cover and scattered showers sharply limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 27–29°C. This meteorological setup produces the tight clustering in market-implied odds, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, shower timing, or brief breaks in overcast skies can easily alter the daily peak by 1–2°C. Official guidance from regional models emphasizes these variables over the next several hours, with traders assigning the highest probabilities to 28°C (38.5%) and 27°C (29.5%) because even small changes in insolation or convective intensity differentiate those thresholds while higher outcomes remain unlikely under the prevailing humid, stabilized air mass.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$42,314Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts highlight Shanghai's position in the Meiyu plum rain season, where persistent cloud cover and scattered showers sharply limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 27–29°C. This meteorological setup produces the tight clustering in market-implied odds, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, shower timing, or brief breaks in overcast skies can easily alter the daily peak by 1–2°C. Official guidance from regional models emphasizes these variables over the next several hours, with traders assigning the highest probabilities to 28°C (38.5%) and 27°C (29.5%) because even small changes in insolation or convective intensity differentiate those thresholds while higher outcomes remain unlikely under the prevailing humid, stabilized air mass.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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