**Official Environment Canada guidance anchors trader sentiment around a 29–30°C high for Toronto on July 8, with the two outcomes nearly tied at 27.5% and 27.0%.** A mix of sun and cloud under a lighter south flow, combined with a modest chance of showers developing later in the day, creates the narrow spread: daytime heating supports the upper end of that range, while increased cloud cover or earlier precipitation could cap the maximum near the lower end. Recent model runs show limited disagreement on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, keeping outcomes above 31°C or below 28°C at single-digit probabilities. As the 24-hour forecast window tightens, the next Environment Canada update and any revised convective timing will be the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Toronto on July 8?
Highest temperature in Toronto on July 8?
30°C 37%
29°C 30%
31°C 23%
28°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 juil. 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
30%
30°C
37%
31°C
23%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 37%
29°C 30%
31°C 23%
28°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 juil. 2026
26°C or below
$165 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$233 Vol.
2%
28°C
$379 Vol.
6%
29°C
$2,972 Vol.
30%
30°C
$662 Vol.
37%
31°C
$1,223 Vol.
23%
32°C
$387 Vol.
4%
33°C
$467 Vol.
2%
34°C
$288 Vol.
1%
35°C
$231 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$458 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official Environment Canada guidance anchors trader sentiment around a 29–30°C high for Toronto on July 8, with the two outcomes nearly tied at 27.5% and 27.0%.** A mix of sun and cloud under a lighter south flow, combined with a modest chance of showers developing later in the day, creates the narrow spread: daytime heating supports the upper end of that range, while increased cloud cover or earlier precipitation could cap the maximum near the lower end. Recent model runs show limited disagreement on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, keeping outcomes above 31°C or below 28°C at single-digit probabilities. As the 24-hour forecast window tightens, the next Environment Canada update and any revised convective timing will be the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 6, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
Volume
$7,466Date de fin
8 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 6, 2026, 10:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official Environment Canada guidance anchors trader sentiment around a 29–30°C high for Toronto on July 8, with the two outcomes nearly tied at 27.5% and 27.0%.** A mix of sun and cloud under a lighter south flow, combined with a modest chance of showers developing later in the day, creates the narrow spread: daytime heating supports the upper end of that range, while increased cloud cover or earlier precipitation could cap the maximum near the lower end. Recent model runs show limited disagreement on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, keeping outcomes above 31°C or below 28°C at single-digit probabilities. As the 24-hour forecast window tightens, the next Environment Canada update and any revised convective timing will be the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,466Date de fin
8 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 6, 2026, 10:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official Environment Canada guidance anchors trader sentiment around a 29–30°C high for Toronto on July 8, with the two outcomes nearly tied at 27.5% and 27.0%.** A mix of sun and cloud under a lighter south flow, combined with a modest chance of showers developing later in the day, creates the narrow spread: daytime heating supports the upper end of that range, while increased cloud cover or earlier precipitation could cap the maximum near the lower end. Recent model runs show limited disagreement on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, keeping outcomes above 31°C or below 28°C at single-digit probabilities. As the 24-hour forecast window tightens, the next Environment Canada update and any revised convective timing will be the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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