President Trump has arrived in Beijing ahead of a high-stakes bilateral summit with President Xi Jinping scheduled for May 14, including a 10:15 a.m. meeting and state banquet, driving trader consensus toward extended handshakes as a diplomatic signal of stable U.S.-China ties amid Iran tensions and trade discussions. Recent developments, such as advance U.S. delegations featuring Elon Musk, Marco Rubio, and tech CEOs already on site, alongside Trump's prior remarks on a warm reception from Xi, bolster expectations for prolonged gestures like the 55% implied probability on 15+ seconds, echoing historical leader handshakes at summits. Shorter durations trail as markets price in mutual interest in projecting amity before key negotiations on technology, tariffs, and global security.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour15s+ 57%
10–15s 21%
6–10s 20%
2–6s 4.5%
$253,200 Vol.
$253,200 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Pas de poignée de main
1%
<2s
1%
2–6s
4%
6–10s
20%
10–15s
21%
15s+
57%
Photographiés seulement
<1%
15s+ 57%
10–15s 21%
6–10s 20%
2–6s 4.5%
$253,200 Vol.
$253,200 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Pas de poignée de main
$48,320 Vol.
1%
<2s
$40,413 Vol.
1%
2–6s
$39,449 Vol.
4%
6–10s
$19,557 Vol.
20%
10–15s
$19,447 Vol.
21%
15s+
$47,040 Vol.
57%
Photographiés seulement
$40,876 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.President Trump has arrived in Beijing ahead of a high-stakes bilateral summit with President Xi Jinping scheduled for May 14, including a 10:15 a.m. meeting and state banquet, driving trader consensus toward extended handshakes as a diplomatic signal of stable U.S.-China ties amid Iran tensions and trade discussions. Recent developments, such as advance U.S. delegations featuring Elon Musk, Marco Rubio, and tech CEOs already on site, alongside Trump's prior remarks on a warm reception from Xi, bolster expectations for prolonged gestures like the 55% implied probability on 15+ seconds, echoing historical leader handshakes at summits. Shorter durations trail as markets price in mutual interest in projecting amity before key negotiations on technology, tariffs, and global security.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Marché ouvert : Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Volume
$253,200Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.President Trump has arrived in Beijing ahead of a high-stakes bilateral summit with President Xi Jinping scheduled for May 14, including a 10:15 a.m. meeting and state banquet, driving trader consensus toward extended handshakes as a diplomatic signal of stable U.S.-China ties amid Iran tensions and trade discussions. Recent developments, such as advance U.S. delegations featuring Elon Musk, Marco Rubio, and tech CEOs already on site, alongside Trump's prior remarks on a warm reception from Xi, bolster expectations for prolonged gestures like the 55% implied probability on 15+ seconds, echoing historical leader handshakes at summits. Shorter durations trail as markets price in mutual interest in projecting amity before key negotiations on technology, tariffs, and global security.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Volume
$253,200Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...President Trump has arrived in Beijing ahead of a high-stakes bilateral summit with President Xi Jinping scheduled for May 14, including a 10:15 a.m. meeting and state banquet, driving trader consensus toward extended handshakes as a diplomatic signal of stable U.S.-China ties amid Iran tensions and trade discussions. Recent developments, such as advance U.S. delegations featuring Elon Musk, Marco Rubio, and tech CEOs already on site, alongside Trump's prior remarks on a warm reception from Xi, bolster expectations for prolonged gestures like the 55% implied probability on 15+ seconds, echoing historical leader handshakes at summits. Shorter durations trail as markets price in mutual interest in projecting amity before key negotiations on technology, tariffs, and global security.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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