Skip to main content
icon for IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Élections·Primaire De La Maison

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Élections·Primaire De La Maison

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Lindsay James 94%

Kathy Dolter 2.4%

Clint Twedt-Ball 1.4%

Don Primus <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Lindsay James 94%

Kathy Dolter 2.4%

Clint Twedt-Ball 1.4%

Don Primus <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Lindsay James

$3,646 Vol.

94%

Kathy Dolter

$1,917 Vol.

2%

Clint Twedt-Ball

$1,628 Vol.

1%

Don Primus

$1,012 Vol.

<1%

Guy Morgan

$1,151 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Lindsay James commands 94% trader consensus in the IA-02 Democratic primary set for June 2, driven by her incumbency advantage in the Iowa House, superior fundraising as shown in recent reports, and key endorsements from the Iowa AFL-CIO and State Council of Machinists in late April. Challengers Kathy Dolter and Clint Twedt-Ball trail amid low visibility, with recent candidate forums in Hiawatha on May 9 and a healthcare-immigration debate on May 13 failing to shift momentum. James's experience as the sole elected official bolsters her path-to-victory in this open-seat race vacated by Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate bid. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, voter turnout surprises favoring underdogs, or undecideds breaking heavily elsewhere, though structural barriers favor the frontrunner.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$9,355
Date de fin
2 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 25, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Lindsay James commands 94% trader consensus in the IA-02 Democratic primary set for June 2, driven by her incumbency advantage in the Iowa House, superior fundraising as shown in recent reports, and key endorsements from the Iowa AFL-CIO and State Council of Machinists in late April. Challengers Kathy Dolter and Clint Twedt-Ball trail amid low visibility, with recent candidate forums in Hiawatha on May 9 and a healthcare-immigration debate on May 13 failing to shift momentum. James's experience as the sole elected official bolsters her path-to-victory in this open-seat race vacated by Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate bid. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, voter turnout surprises favoring underdogs, or undecideds breaking heavily elsewhere, though structural barriers favor the frontrunner.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$9,355
Date de fin
2 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 25, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Lindsay James » à 94%, suivi de « Kathy Dolter » à 2%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 94¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 94% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Feb 25, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner » est « Lindsay James » à 94%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 94% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Kathy Dolter » à 2%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.