State Rep. Manny Rutinel leads trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability in the CO-08 Democratic primary due to his early campaign launch, appeal to the district's 40% Latino voting bloc via Dominican immigrant roots, and endorsements from SEIU Colorado, Voces Unidas, BOLD PAC, and former Interior Secretary Ken Salazar, positioning him as the general election frontrunner against incumbent Republican Gabe Evans. Former state Rep. Shannon Bird holds 44% amid strong labor backing including EMILY's List and Blue Dog PAC, but faces attacks over her statehouse votes limiting local ICE cooperation. Recent catalysts include EMILY's List's May 13 TV ad accusing Rutinel of Medicaid cuts, a May 12 debate cancellation after Bird withdrew over Rutinel's fundraiser absence, and polls confirming a tight two-way race ahead of the June 30 primary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourManny Rutinel 72%
Shannon Bird 22%
Yadira Caraveo <1%
Dave Young <1%
$20,867 Vol.
$20,867 Vol.
Manny Rutinel
72%
Shannon Bird
35%
Yadira Caraveo
1%
Dave Young
<1%
John Szemler
<1%
Amie Baca-Oehlert
<1%
Manny Rutinel 72%
Shannon Bird 22%
Yadira Caraveo <1%
Dave Young <1%
$20,867 Vol.
$20,867 Vol.
Manny Rutinel
72%
Shannon Bird
35%
Yadira Caraveo
1%
Dave Young
<1%
John Szemler
<1%
Amie Baca-Oehlert
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Rep. Manny Rutinel leads trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability in the CO-08 Democratic primary due to his early campaign launch, appeal to the district's 40% Latino voting bloc via Dominican immigrant roots, and endorsements from SEIU Colorado, Voces Unidas, BOLD PAC, and former Interior Secretary Ken Salazar, positioning him as the general election frontrunner against incumbent Republican Gabe Evans. Former state Rep. Shannon Bird holds 44% amid strong labor backing including EMILY's List and Blue Dog PAC, but faces attacks over her statehouse votes limiting local ICE cooperation. Recent catalysts include EMILY's List's May 13 TV ad accusing Rutinel of Medicaid cuts, a May 12 debate cancellation after Bird withdrew over Rutinel's fundraiser absence, and polls confirming a tight two-way race ahead of the June 30 primary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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