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icon for Jerome Powell sorti du conseil d'administration de la Fed d'ici le… ?
Politique·FED

Jerome Powell sorti du conseil d'administration de la Fed d'ici le… ?

icon for Jerome Powell sorti du conseil d'administration de la Fed d'ici le… ?
Politique·FED

Jerome Powell sorti du conseil d'administration de la Fed d'ici le… ?

$323,627 Vol.

31 déc. 2026
Polymarket

$323,627 Vol.

Polymarket

30 mai

$200,831 Vol.

2%

31 décembre

$122,796 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s decision to remain on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after stepping down as chair on May 15, 2026, has become the dominant factor shaping trader views on when he will fully exit the board. His 14-year term as governor runs through January 2028, and recent comments indicate he intends to stay until legal and investigative matters tied to prior administration actions are resolved, citing the need to safeguard monetary policy independence. This stance follows Senate confirmation of successor Kevin Warsh and aligns with historical precedent where outgoing chairs rarely linger on the board. Market-implied odds reflect expectations that political dynamics and any further central bank communications could influence the exact timing, while upcoming economic data releases and FOMC meetings may indirectly affect board stability. Traders monitor these developments closely as they price in the probability of an earlier departure versus a longer tenure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$323,627
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s decision to remain on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after stepping down as chair on May 15, 2026, has become the dominant factor shaping trader views on when he will fully exit the board. His 14-year term as governor runs through January 2028, and recent comments indicate he intends to stay until legal and investigative matters tied to prior administration actions are resolved, citing the need to safeguard monetary policy independence. This stance follows Senate confirmation of successor Kevin Warsh and aligns with historical precedent where outgoing chairs rarely linger on the board. Market-implied odds reflect expectations that political dynamics and any further central bank communications could influence the exact timing, while upcoming economic data releases and FOMC meetings may indirectly affect board stability. Traders monitor these developments closely as they price in the probability of an earlier departure versus a longer tenure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$323,627
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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Questions fréquentes

« Jerome Powell sorti du conseil d'administration de la Fed d'ici le… ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 31 décembre » à 45%, suivi de « 30 mai » à 2%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 45¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Jerome Powell sorti du conseil d'administration de la Fed d'ici le… ? » a généré $323.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 5, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Jerome Powell sorti du conseil d'administration de la Fed d'ici le… ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Jerome Powell sorti du conseil d'administration de la Fed d'ici le… ? » est « 31 décembre » à 45%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 30 mai » à 2%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Jerome Powell sorti du conseil d'administration de la Fed d'ici le… ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.