Goldman Sachs leads trader sentiment at 75.5% implied probability for lead-left underwriter on OpenAI’s IPO, driven by its dominant role in recent large-cap tech offerings and June 2026 reports confirming it and Morgan Stanley as top bookrunners for both OpenAI and rival Anthropic. Banks are forming separate deal teams to manage conflicts ahead of potential fall filings, underscoring Goldman’s edge in AI-sector advisory and capital-markets execution. Morgan Stanley trails at 22.5% amid the same duopoly, while all other banks sit below 2%. Key near-term catalysts include S-1 prospectus details and any final lead-left designation, which historically amplifies fees and allocations for the winner.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman Sachs 76%
Morgan Stanley 23%
UBS 1.7%
Bank of America 1.0%
$42,781 Vol.
$42,781 Vol.
30 déc. 2027
Goldman Sachs
76%
Morgan Stanley
23%
UBS
2%
Bank of America
1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
JPMorgan
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Goldman Sachs 76%
Morgan Stanley 23%
UBS 1.7%
Bank of America 1.0%
$42,781 Vol.
$42,781 Vol.
30 déc. 2027
Goldman Sachs
$7,186 Vol.
76%
Morgan Stanley
$8,024 Vol.
23%
UBS
$3,354 Vol.
2%
Bank of America
$2,356 Vol.
1%
Wells Fargo
$3,108 Vol.
<1%
Citigroup
$2,522 Vol.
<1%
Barclays
$3,472 Vol.
<1%
JPMorgan
$3,802 Vol.
<1%
Deutsche Bank
$8,957 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs leads trader sentiment at 75.5% implied probability for lead-left underwriter on OpenAI’s IPO, driven by its dominant role in recent large-cap tech offerings and June 2026 reports confirming it and Morgan Stanley as top bookrunners for both OpenAI and rival Anthropic. Banks are forming separate deal teams to manage conflicts ahead of potential fall filings, underscoring Goldman’s edge in AI-sector advisory and capital-markets execution. Morgan Stanley trails at 22.5% amid the same duopoly, while all other banks sit below 2%. Key near-term catalysts include S-1 prospectus details and any final lead-left designation, which historically amplifies fees and allocations for the winner.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
Volume
$42,781Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs leads trader sentiment at 75.5% implied probability for lead-left underwriter on OpenAI’s IPO, driven by its dominant role in recent large-cap tech offerings and June 2026 reports confirming it and Morgan Stanley as top bookrunners for both OpenAI and rival Anthropic. Banks are forming separate deal teams to manage conflicts ahead of potential fall filings, underscoring Goldman’s edge in AI-sector advisory and capital-markets execution. Morgan Stanley trails at 22.5% amid the same duopoly, while all other banks sit below 2%. Key near-term catalysts include S-1 prospectus details and any final lead-left designation, which historically amplifies fees and allocations for the winner.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$42,781Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Goldman Sachs leads trader sentiment at 75.5% implied probability for lead-left underwriter on OpenAI’s IPO, driven by its dominant role in recent large-cap tech offerings and June 2026 reports confirming it and Morgan Stanley as top bookrunners for both OpenAI and rival Anthropic. Banks are forming separate deal teams to manage conflicts ahead of potential fall filings, underscoring Goldman’s edge in AI-sector advisory and capital-markets execution. Morgan Stanley trails at 22.5% amid the same duopoly, while all other banks sit below 2%. Key near-term catalysts include S-1 prospectus details and any final lead-left designation, which historically amplifies fees and allocations for the winner.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
53%
La capitalisation boursière d’OpenAI sera-t-elle de 1,5 T$ ou plus à la clôture du marché le jour de l’introduction en bourse d’ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?
42%
Oui
L'introduction en bourse d'OpenAI se clôturera-t-elle avec une capitalisation boursière supérieure à 800 milliards de dollars ?
83%
Oui
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