Recent confirmation of SpaceX’s Project Apex IPO, targeting a June 2026 pricing and listing on Nasdaq with a potential valuation above $1.75 trillion, has positioned Goldman Sachs as the clear frontrunner at 74.5% implied probability. April 2026 reporting established Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, JPMorgan, and Citigroup as active bookrunners within an unprecedented 21-bank syndicate, and May 2026 updates accelerated the timeline with confidential filing expected imminently. Traders favor Goldman for its dominant role in prior high-profile technology listings and execution strength in large syndicates. Morgan Stanley’s 24.5% odds stem from its long advisory ties to Elon Musk, yet the remaining banks sit below 2% as secondary participants. The upcoming roadshow and final underwriter hierarchy will likely resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGoldman Sachs 76%
Morgan Stanley 23%
Bank of America 1.8%
JPMorgan <1%
$1,783,255 Vol.
$1,783,255 Vol.

Goldman Sachs
76%

Morgan Stanley
23%

Bank of America
2%

JPMorgan
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%

Citigroup
<1%

UBS
<1%

Barclays
<1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%
Goldman Sachs 76%
Morgan Stanley 23%
Bank of America 1.8%
JPMorgan <1%
$1,783,255 Vol.
$1,783,255 Vol.

Goldman Sachs
76%

Morgan Stanley
23%

Bank of America
2%

JPMorgan
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%

Citigroup
<1%

UBS
<1%

Barclays
<1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent confirmation of SpaceX’s Project Apex IPO, targeting a June 2026 pricing and listing on Nasdaq with a potential valuation above $1.75 trillion, has positioned Goldman Sachs as the clear frontrunner at 74.5% implied probability. April 2026 reporting established Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, JPMorgan, and Citigroup as active bookrunners within an unprecedented 21-bank syndicate, and May 2026 updates accelerated the timeline with confidential filing expected imminently. Traders favor Goldman for its dominant role in prior high-profile technology listings and execution strength in large syndicates. Morgan Stanley’s 24.5% odds stem from its long advisory ties to Elon Musk, yet the remaining banks sit below 2% as secondary participants. The upcoming roadshow and final underwriter hierarchy will likely resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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