Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a mild air mass over the Netherlands, with Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 22 likely falling between 12–15 °C as light southerly winds limit radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies. This range aligns with the closely matched market probabilities for 10–12 °C outcomes and the modest share for 17 °C or higher, reflecting lingering uncertainty in exact boundary-layer temperatures and dew-point depressions. Historical September minima average near 10 °C, but current guidance shows departure from that baseline due to above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the North Sea. Traders will watch the final 00Z and 12Z model runs plus KNMI updates for any late adjustments before the daily minimum is recorded at Schiphol.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 22 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 22 septembre ?
17°C ou plus 87%
12°C 40%
15°C 39%
13°C 38%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
3%
8°C
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
40%
13°C
38%
14°C
38%
15°C
39%
16°C
13%
17°C ou plus
87%
17°C ou plus 87%
12°C 40%
15°C 39%
13°C 38%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
3%
8°C
$0 Vol.
2%
9°C
$0 Vol.
3%
10°C
$25 Vol.
27%
11°C
$6 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
38%
14°C
$0 Vol.
38%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
13%
17°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a mild air mass over the Netherlands, with Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 22 likely falling between 12–15 °C as light southerly winds limit radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies. This range aligns with the closely matched market probabilities for 10–12 °C outcomes and the modest share for 17 °C or higher, reflecting lingering uncertainty in exact boundary-layer temperatures and dew-point depressions. Historical September minima average near 10 °C, but current guidance shows departure from that baseline due to above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the North Sea. Traders will watch the final 00Z and 12Z model runs plus KNMI updates for any late adjustments before the daily minimum is recorded at Schiphol.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$32Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a mild air mass over the Netherlands, with Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 22 likely falling between 12–15 °C as light southerly winds limit radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies. This range aligns with the closely matched market probabilities for 10–12 °C outcomes and the modest share for 17 °C or higher, reflecting lingering uncertainty in exact boundary-layer temperatures and dew-point depressions. Historical September minima average near 10 °C, but current guidance shows departure from that baseline due to above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the North Sea. Traders will watch the final 00Z and 12Z model runs plus KNMI updates for any late adjustments before the daily minimum is recorded at Schiphol.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a mild air mass over the Netherlands, with Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 22 likely falling between 12–15 °C as light southerly winds limit radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies. This range aligns with the closely matched market probabilities for 10–12 °C outcomes and the modest share for 17 °C or higher, reflecting lingering uncertainty in exact boundary-layer temperatures and dew-point depressions. Historical September minima average near 10 °C, but current guidance shows departure from that baseline due to above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the North Sea. Traders will watch the final 00Z and 12Z model runs plus KNMI updates for any late adjustments before the daily minimum is recorded at Schiphol.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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