Recent forecasts from global models indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 21 near 13°C, driven by persistent northwest flow under high pressure and mostly cloudy conditions that limit radiative cooling overnight. Light winds and dew points around 10–11°C support this range, consistent with GFS guidance showing lows of 12–14°C rather than sharper drops. Historical September averages near 10.5°C provide context, but current steering patterns and lack of clear skies favor the higher end of typical variability. Market-implied odds align closely with these consensus outputs, with traders weighting the narrow 12–15°C window amid limited forecast spread. Final resolution will depend on official KNMI station readings at the close of the 24-hour period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 21 septembre ?
12°C 43%
16°C 40%
15°C 39%
11°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
2%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
8%
11°C
19%
12°C
43%
13°C
43%
14°C
10%
15°C
39%
16°C
40%
17°C ou plus
2%
12°C 43%
16°C 40%
15°C 39%
11°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
2%
8°C
$0 Vol.
2%
9°C
$0 Vol.
2%
10°C
$0 Vol.
8%
11°C
$6 Vol.
19%
12°C
$0 Vol.
43%
13°C
$116 Vol.
43%
14°C
$217 Vol.
10%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 21 near 13°C, driven by persistent northwest flow under high pressure and mostly cloudy conditions that limit radiative cooling overnight. Light winds and dew points around 10–11°C support this range, consistent with GFS guidance showing lows of 12–14°C rather than sharper drops. Historical September averages near 10.5°C provide context, but current steering patterns and lack of clear skies favor the higher end of typical variability. Market-implied odds align closely with these consensus outputs, with traders weighting the narrow 12–15°C window amid limited forecast spread. Final resolution will depend on official KNMI station readings at the close of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$339Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 21 near 13°C, driven by persistent northwest flow under high pressure and mostly cloudy conditions that limit radiative cooling overnight. Light winds and dew points around 10–11°C support this range, consistent with GFS guidance showing lows of 12–14°C rather than sharper drops. Historical September averages near 10.5°C provide context, but current steering patterns and lack of clear skies favor the higher end of typical variability. Market-implied odds align closely with these consensus outputs, with traders weighting the narrow 12–15°C window amid limited forecast spread. Final resolution will depend on official KNMI station readings at the close of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$339Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 21 near 13°C, driven by persistent northwest flow under high pressure and mostly cloudy conditions that limit radiative cooling overnight. Light winds and dew points around 10–11°C support this range, consistent with GFS guidance showing lows of 12–14°C rather than sharper drops. Historical September averages near 10.5°C provide context, but current steering patterns and lack of clear skies favor the higher end of typical variability. Market-implied odds align closely with these consensus outputs, with traders weighting the narrow 12–15°C window amid limited forecast spread. Final resolution will depend on official KNMI station readings at the close of the 24-hour period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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