**Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs support the strong market consensus around a 74-75°F low for Austin on August 23.** Persistent hot, dry conditions with clear skies overnight promote efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 105°F, while light southerly winds limit mixing and keep the minimum in the mid-to-upper 70s range consistent with climatological baselines adjusted for the current heatwave. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of NOAA guidance and historical analogs for late-August nights under similar high-pressure dominance. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected increases in low-level moisture, stronger winds, or delayed model updates showing reduced cooling, potentially pushing the observed minimum into the 76-80°F band and shifting implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Austin le 23 août ?
La température la plus basse à Austin le 23 août ?
74-75°F 94%
71°F ou moins 4%
72-73°F <1%
76-77 °F <1%
$3,315 Vol.
$3,315 Vol.
23 août 2026
71°F ou moins
4%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
94%
76-77 °F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81 °F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85 °F
<1%
86-87 °F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F ou plus
<1%
74-75°F 94%
71°F ou moins 4%
72-73°F <1%
76-77 °F <1%
$3,315 Vol.
$3,315 Vol.
23 août 2026
71°F ou moins
$41 Vol.
4%
72-73°F
$383 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$634 Vol.
94%
76-77 °F
$335 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$100 Vol.
<1%
80-81 °F
$100 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$100 Vol.
<1%
84-85 °F
$858 Vol.
<1%
86-87 °F
$165 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$399 Vol.
<1%
90°F ou plus
$200 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs support the strong market consensus around a 74-75°F low for Austin on August 23.** Persistent hot, dry conditions with clear skies overnight promote efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 105°F, while light southerly winds limit mixing and keep the minimum in the mid-to-upper 70s range consistent with climatological baselines adjusted for the current heatwave. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of NOAA guidance and historical analogs for late-August nights under similar high-pressure dominance. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected increases in low-level moisture, stronger winds, or delayed model updates showing reduced cooling, potentially pushing the observed minimum into the 76-80°F band and shifting implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,315Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs support the strong market consensus around a 74-75°F low for Austin on August 23.** Persistent hot, dry conditions with clear skies overnight promote efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 105°F, while light southerly winds limit mixing and keep the minimum in the mid-to-upper 70s range consistent with climatological baselines adjusted for the current heatwave. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of NOAA guidance and historical analogs for late-August nights under similar high-pressure dominance. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected increases in low-level moisture, stronger winds, or delayed model updates showing reduced cooling, potentially pushing the observed minimum into the 76-80°F band and shifting implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,315Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs support the strong market consensus around a 74-75°F low for Austin on August 23.** Persistent hot, dry conditions with clear skies overnight promote efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 105°F, while light southerly winds limit mixing and keep the minimum in the mid-to-upper 70s range consistent with climatological baselines adjusted for the current heatwave. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of NOAA guidance and historical analogs for late-August nights under similar high-pressure dominance. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected increases in low-level moisture, stronger winds, or delayed model updates showing reduced cooling, potentially pushing the observed minimum into the 76-80°F band and shifting implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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