Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Helsinki near 7–9°C for September 14, with modest spread driven by variable cloud cover and light northerly winds. Clear skies would enhance radiative cooling after sunset, favoring readings closer to 5–7°C, while increased cloudiness or a slight shift in advection could hold lows near 10–12°C. These conditions align with climatological norms of 9.6°C average lows but sit well above the historical record low of 0.6°C. Market-implied odds near 50% for both sub-2°C and 12°C+ outcomes reflect trader focus on forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer processes and the next high-resolution model updates expected within 24 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Helsinki le 14 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Helsinki le 14 septembre ?
2°C ou moins 100%
12°C ou plus 94%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
2°C ou moins
100%
3°C
39%
4°C
39%
5°C
40%
6°C
40%
7°C
25%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C ou plus
94%
2°C ou moins 100%
12°C ou plus 94%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
2°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
100%
3°C
$0 Vol.
39%
4°C
$0 Vol.
39%
5°C
$0 Vol.
40%
6°C
$0 Vol.
40%
7°C
$0 Vol.
25%
8°C
$0 Vol.
39%
9°C
$0 Vol.
39%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Helsinki near 7–9°C for September 14, with modest spread driven by variable cloud cover and light northerly winds. Clear skies would enhance radiative cooling after sunset, favoring readings closer to 5–7°C, while increased cloudiness or a slight shift in advection could hold lows near 10–12°C. These conditions align with climatological norms of 9.6°C average lows but sit well above the historical record low of 0.6°C. Market-implied odds near 50% for both sub-2°C and 12°C+ outcomes reflect trader focus on forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer processes and the next high-resolution model updates expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Helsinki near 7–9°C for September 14, with modest spread driven by variable cloud cover and light northerly winds. Clear skies would enhance radiative cooling after sunset, favoring readings closer to 5–7°C, while increased cloudiness or a slight shift in advection could hold lows near 10–12°C. These conditions align with climatological norms of 9.6°C average lows but sit well above the historical record low of 0.6°C. Market-implied odds near 50% for both sub-2°C and 12°C+ outcomes reflect trader focus on forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer processes and the next high-resolution model updates expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Helsinki near 7–9°C for September 14, with modest spread driven by variable cloud cover and light northerly winds. Clear skies would enhance radiative cooling after sunset, favoring readings closer to 5–7°C, while increased cloudiness or a slight shift in advection could hold lows near 10–12°C. These conditions align with climatological norms of 9.6°C average lows but sit well above the historical record low of 0.6°C. Market-implied odds near 50% for both sub-2°C and 12°C+ outcomes reflect trader focus on forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer processes and the next high-resolution model updates expected within 24 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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