**Forecast consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models points to overnight lows of 26–27°C on September 6, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers.** Subtropical humidity and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while recent thunderstorm activity has kept surface temperatures elevated compared to clearer nights. Historical September baselines show typical minimums near 26°C, and current guidance shows no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative window that would push readings lower. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 26°C and 27°C resolutions against minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any showers, with implied probabilities reflecting this tight scientific range rather than outlier scenarios. Updated HKO briefings and model runs over the next 24 hours will provide the final data for market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 6 septembre ?
27°C 52%
26°C 32%
25°C 10%
28°C 6%
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
10%
26°C
32%
27°C
52%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
27°C 52%
26°C 32%
25°C 10%
28°C 6%
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
10%
26°C
32%
27°C
52%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models points to overnight lows of 26–27°C on September 6, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers.** Subtropical humidity and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while recent thunderstorm activity has kept surface temperatures elevated compared to clearer nights. Historical September baselines show typical minimums near 26°C, and current guidance shows no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative window that would push readings lower. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 26°C and 27°C resolutions against minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any showers, with implied probabilities reflecting this tight scientific range rather than outlier scenarios. Updated HKO briefings and model runs over the next 24 hours will provide the final data for market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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