Traders assign overwhelming 97% implied probability to a 31°C low in Jeddah on September 15, 2026, reflecting stable hot-desert conditions with minimal overnight cooling. Mid-September climatology shows typical nighttime minima of 28–30°C under clear skies, high humidity near 50–70%, and light winds from the Red Sea that limit radiative cooling. Recent model consensus from official and private sources indicates the overnight low holding near 29–32°C with no significant fronts, rainfall, or wind shifts expected to drive further drops. This positioning aligns with historical September baselines where daily ranges stay narrow and temperatures rarely fall below 28°C absent unusual synoptic changes. A cooler outcome would require an atypical influx of drier air or cloud cover reducing the heat index, though current observations show no such developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Djeddah le 15 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Djeddah le 15 septembre ?
31°C 99.5%
26°C ou moins 1.0%
27°C 1.0%
28°C 1.0%
$1,459 Vol.
$1,459 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Oui
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C ou plus
Non
31°C 99.5%
26°C ou moins 1.0%
27°C 1.0%
28°C 1.0%
$1,459 Vol.
$1,459 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
$10 Vol.
Non
27°C
$10 Vol.
Non
28°C
$144 Vol.
Non
29°C
$154 Vol.
Non
30°C
$162 Vol.
Non
31°C
$260 Vol.
Oui
32°C
$421 Vol.
Non
33°C
$184 Vol.
Non
34°C
$10 Vol.
Non
35°C
$10 Vol.
Non
36°C ou plus
$95 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign overwhelming 97% implied probability to a 31°C low in Jeddah on September 15, 2026, reflecting stable hot-desert conditions with minimal overnight cooling. Mid-September climatology shows typical nighttime minima of 28–30°C under clear skies, high humidity near 50–70%, and light winds from the Red Sea that limit radiative cooling. Recent model consensus from official and private sources indicates the overnight low holding near 29–32°C with no significant fronts, rainfall, or wind shifts expected to drive further drops. This positioning aligns with historical September baselines where daily ranges stay narrow and temperatures rarely fall below 28°C absent unusual synoptic changes. A cooler outcome would require an atypical influx of drier air or cloud cover reducing the heat index, though current observations show no such developments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$1,459Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign overwhelming 97% implied probability to a 31°C low in Jeddah on September 15, 2026, reflecting stable hot-desert conditions with minimal overnight cooling. Mid-September climatology shows typical nighttime minima of 28–30°C under clear skies, high humidity near 50–70%, and light winds from the Red Sea that limit radiative cooling. Recent model consensus from official and private sources indicates the overnight low holding near 29–32°C with no significant fronts, rainfall, or wind shifts expected to drive further drops. This positioning aligns with historical September baselines where daily ranges stay narrow and temperatures rarely fall below 28°C absent unusual synoptic changes. A cooler outcome would require an atypical influx of drier air or cloud cover reducing the heat index, though current observations show no such developments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,459Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Traders assign overwhelming 97% implied probability to a 31°C low in Jeddah on September 15, 2026, reflecting stable hot-desert conditions with minimal overnight cooling. Mid-September climatology shows typical nighttime minima of 28–30°C under clear skies, high humidity near 50–70%, and light winds from the Red Sea that limit radiative cooling. Recent model consensus from official and private sources indicates the overnight low holding near 29–32°C with no significant fronts, rainfall, or wind shifts expected to drive further drops. This positioning aligns with historical September baselines where daily ranges stay narrow and temperatures rarely fall below 28°C absent unusual synoptic changes. A cooler outcome would require an atypical influx of drier air or cloud cover reducing the heat index, though current observations show no such developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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