A strong high-pressure system and southerly airflow have driven an exceptional heatwave across southern England, producing warm, humid nights that limit radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Official Met Office guidance for 26 June projects a nighttime low near 21°C in London, consistent with the market’s leading 19°C outcome at 34.5% and clustered probabilities around 20–23°C. Key variables include the exact timing of any weakening in the ridge, cloud-cover evolution that could enhance or suppress overnight cooling, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. With resolution only 48 hours away and ensemble guidance still showing modest variability, traders are pricing in a narrow but uncertain range centered on these unusually high June minima rather than typical climatological values near 12–14°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 26 juin ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 26 juin ?
22°C 100.0%
18°C ou moins <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$18,116 Vol.
$18,116 Vol.
26 juin 2026
18°C ou moins
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou plus
<1%
22°C 100.0%
18°C ou moins <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$18,116 Vol.
$18,116 Vol.
26 juin 2026
18°C ou moins
$901 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$891 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,223 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,418 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,057 Vol.
100%
23°C
$3,872 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,187 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$640 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$740 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$518 Vol.
<1%
28°C ou plus
$679 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong high-pressure system and southerly airflow have driven an exceptional heatwave across southern England, producing warm, humid nights that limit radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Official Met Office guidance for 26 June projects a nighttime low near 21°C in London, consistent with the market’s leading 19°C outcome at 34.5% and clustered probabilities around 20–23°C. Key variables include the exact timing of any weakening in the ridge, cloud-cover evolution that could enhance or suppress overnight cooling, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. With resolution only 48 hours away and ensemble guidance still showing modest variability, traders are pricing in a narrow but uncertain range centered on these unusually high June minima rather than typical climatological values near 12–14°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$18,116Date de fin
26 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong high-pressure system and southerly airflow have driven an exceptional heatwave across southern England, producing warm, humid nights that limit radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Official Met Office guidance for 26 June projects a nighttime low near 21°C in London, consistent with the market’s leading 19°C outcome at 34.5% and clustered probabilities around 20–23°C. Key variables include the exact timing of any weakening in the ridge, cloud-cover evolution that could enhance or suppress overnight cooling, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. With resolution only 48 hours away and ensemble guidance still showing modest variability, traders are pricing in a narrow but uncertain range centered on these unusually high June minima rather than typical climatological values near 12–14°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,116Date de fin
26 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...A strong high-pressure system and southerly airflow have driven an exceptional heatwave across southern England, producing warm, humid nights that limit radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Official Met Office guidance for 26 June projects a nighttime low near 21°C in London, consistent with the market’s leading 19°C outcome at 34.5% and clustered probabilities around 20–23°C. Key variables include the exact timing of any weakening in the ridge, cloud-cover evolution that could enhance or suppress overnight cooling, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. With resolution only 48 hours away and ensemble guidance still showing modest variability, traders are pricing in a narrow but uncertain range centered on these unusually high June minima rather than typical climatological values near 12–14°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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