Current National Weather Service and private forecasts for Miami on August 21 project overnight lows in the low 80s°F, driven by persistent southerly flow, dew points near 78°F, and scattered evening convection limiting radiative cooling. This setup favors warmer minima than the late-August climatological average of ~78°F. With no approaching fronts or drier air masses, model consensus supports 80–83°F readings, closely matching the market’s top two bins at 36% and 34.5% implied probability. Light winds and high boundary-layer moisture further reduce the chance of sharper drops into the upper 70s. Traders appear to price in this typical tropical pattern while assigning modest weight to any late-day clearing that could trim a degree or two.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Miami le 21 août ?
La température la plus basse à Miami le 21 août ?
80-81°F 40%
82-83°F 35%
78-79°F 14%
86-87°F 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
71°F ou moins
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75 °F
1%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
35%
84-85 °F
7%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
1%
90°F ou plus
<1%
80-81°F 40%
82-83°F 35%
78-79°F 14%
86-87°F 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
71°F ou moins
$37 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$36 Vol.
1%
74-75 °F
$36 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$17 Vol.
6%
78-79°F
$152 Vol.
14%
80-81°F
$104 Vol.
40%
82-83°F
$629 Vol.
35%
84-85 °F
$0 Vol.
7%
86-87°F
$15 Vol.
8%
88-89°F
$230 Vol.
1%
90°F ou plus
$150 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private forecasts for Miami on August 21 project overnight lows in the low 80s°F, driven by persistent southerly flow, dew points near 78°F, and scattered evening convection limiting radiative cooling. This setup favors warmer minima than the late-August climatological average of ~78°F. With no approaching fronts or drier air masses, model consensus supports 80–83°F readings, closely matching the market’s top two bins at 36% and 34.5% implied probability. Light winds and high boundary-layer moisture further reduce the chance of sharper drops into the upper 70s. Traders appear to price in this typical tropical pattern while assigning modest weight to any late-day clearing that could trim a degree or two.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,405Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private forecasts for Miami on August 21 project overnight lows in the low 80s°F, driven by persistent southerly flow, dew points near 78°F, and scattered evening convection limiting radiative cooling. This setup favors warmer minima than the late-August climatological average of ~78°F. With no approaching fronts or drier air masses, model consensus supports 80–83°F readings, closely matching the market’s top two bins at 36% and 34.5% implied probability. Light winds and high boundary-layer moisture further reduce the chance of sharper drops into the upper 70s. Traders appear to price in this typical tropical pattern while assigning modest weight to any late-day clearing that could trim a degree or two.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,405Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and private forecasts for Miami on August 21 project overnight lows in the low 80s°F, driven by persistent southerly flow, dew points near 78°F, and scattered evening convection limiting radiative cooling. This setup favors warmer minima than the late-August climatological average of ~78°F. With no approaching fronts or drier air masses, model consensus supports 80–83°F readings, closely matching the market’s top two bins at 36% and 34.5% implied probability. Light winds and high boundary-layer moisture further reduce the chance of sharper drops into the upper 70s. Traders appear to price in this typical tropical pattern while assigning modest weight to any late-day clearing that could trim a degree or two.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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