Trader consensus for Milan's September 17 minimum temperature shows dispersed implied probabilities, led by 23°C or higher at 36%, reflecting uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid an incoming weather system. Official guidance from European models points to overnight lows near 18–19°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and easterly flow, though localized cooling from precipitation could push readings toward 17°C. Model spreads arise from variable timing of rain bands and boundary-layer moisture, with historical September minima in Milan averaging near 15°C but recent warmth elevating baselines. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected overnight will likely tighten resolution criteria before the market closes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Milan le 17 septembre ?
23°C ou plus 75%
20°C 38%
21°C 38%
13°C ou moins 25%
13°C ou moins
25%
14°C
17%
15°C
21%
16°C
23%
17°C
22%
18°C
25%
19°C
22%
20°C
38%
21°C
38%
22°C
16%
23°C ou plus
75%
23°C ou plus 75%
20°C 38%
21°C 38%
13°C ou moins 25%
13°C ou moins
25%
14°C
17%
15°C
21%
16°C
23%
17°C
22%
18°C
25%
19°C
22%
20°C
38%
21°C
38%
22°C
16%
23°C ou plus
75%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for Milan's September 17 minimum temperature shows dispersed implied probabilities, led by 23°C or higher at 36%, reflecting uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid an incoming weather system. Official guidance from European models points to overnight lows near 18–19°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and easterly flow, though localized cooling from precipitation could push readings toward 17°C. Model spreads arise from variable timing of rain bands and boundary-layer moisture, with historical September minima in Milan averaging near 15°C but recent warmth elevating baselines. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected overnight will likely tighten resolution criteria before the market closes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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