Traders see near-even odds among 6–8°C outcomes for Moscow’s September 13 low because numerical models show only modest spread in overnight minimums under stable westerly flow and partly cloudy skies. Radiational cooling overnight, modulated by cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, will set the precise low just before dawn; current guidance from GFS and ECMWF clusters the minimum near the 8–9°C climatological average, with slight downward revisions possible if clearer skies allow stronger cooling. High pressure and light winds limit advection changes, while historical analogs indicate that departures of 2–3°C below average occur roughly one year in four when similar setups persist. New model runs and observational updates overnight remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Moscou le 13 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Moscou le 13 septembre ?
2°C ou moins 48%
12°C ou plus 48%
4°C 40%
10°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 sept. 2026
2°C ou moins
48%
3°C
11%
4°C
40%
5°C
22%
6°C
25%
7°C
29%
8°C
28%
9°C
22%
10°C
40%
11°C
16%
12°C ou plus
48%
2°C ou moins 48%
12°C ou plus 48%
4°C 40%
10°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 sept. 2026
2°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
48%
3°C
$0 Vol.
11%
4°C
$0 Vol.
40%
5°C
$0 Vol.
22%
6°C
$0 Vol.
25%
7°C
$0 Vol.
29%
8°C
$0 Vol.
28%
9°C
$0 Vol.
22%
10°C
$0 Vol.
40%
11°C
$0 Vol.
16%
12°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds among 6–8°C outcomes for Moscow’s September 13 low because numerical models show only modest spread in overnight minimums under stable westerly flow and partly cloudy skies. Radiational cooling overnight, modulated by cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, will set the precise low just before dawn; current guidance from GFS and ECMWF clusters the minimum near the 8–9°C climatological average, with slight downward revisions possible if clearer skies allow stronger cooling. High pressure and light winds limit advection changes, while historical analogs indicate that departures of 2–3°C below average occur roughly one year in four when similar setups persist. New model runs and observational updates overnight remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds among 6–8°C outcomes for Moscow’s September 13 low because numerical models show only modest spread in overnight minimums under stable westerly flow and partly cloudy skies. Radiational cooling overnight, modulated by cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, will set the precise low just before dawn; current guidance from GFS and ECMWF clusters the minimum near the 8–9°C climatological average, with slight downward revisions possible if clearer skies allow stronger cooling. High pressure and light winds limit advection changes, while historical analogs indicate that departures of 2–3°C below average occur roughly one year in four when similar setups persist. New model runs and observational updates overnight remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Traders see near-even odds among 6–8°C outcomes for Moscow’s September 13 low because numerical models show only modest spread in overnight minimums under stable westerly flow and partly cloudy skies. Radiational cooling overnight, modulated by cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, will set the precise low just before dawn; current guidance from GFS and ECMWF clusters the minimum near the 8–9°C climatological average, with slight downward revisions possible if clearer skies allow stronger cooling. High pressure and light winds limit advection changes, while historical analogs indicate that departures of 2–3°C below average occur roughly one year in four when similar setups persist. New model runs and observational updates overnight remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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