Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts points to northwest winds and persistent cloud cover with light rain or showers limiting radiative cooling over Moscow on September 7, keeping the overnight minimum near 7–9 °C. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing and strength of cold-air advection behind the recent frontal passage, which supports the near-even market split between outcomes above 13 °C and at or below 3 °C. Historical early-September variability under similar synoptic patterns—where minimum temperatures can shift several degrees with small changes in cloud cover or wind—explains why mid-range probabilities cluster around 7–9 °C while traders price in meaningful tail risk. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and Roshydromet over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Moscou le 7 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Moscou le 7 septembre ?
3°C ou moins 85%
13°C ou plus 84%
4°C 50%
5°C 50%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 sept. 2026
3°C ou moins
85%
4°C
50%
5°C
50%
6°C
50%
7°C
27%
8°C
35%
9°C
31%
10°C
50%
11°C
2%
12°C
50%
13°C ou plus
84%
3°C ou moins 85%
13°C ou plus 84%
4°C 50%
5°C 50%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 sept. 2026
3°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
85%
4°C
$0 Vol.
50%
5°C
$0 Vol.
50%
6°C
$0 Vol.
50%
7°C
$0 Vol.
27%
8°C
$0 Vol.
35%
9°C
$0 Vol.
31%
10°C
$0 Vol.
50%
11°C
$0 Vol.
2%
12°C
$0 Vol.
50%
13°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts points to northwest winds and persistent cloud cover with light rain or showers limiting radiative cooling over Moscow on September 7, keeping the overnight minimum near 7–9 °C. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing and strength of cold-air advection behind the recent frontal passage, which supports the near-even market split between outcomes above 13 °C and at or below 3 °C. Historical early-September variability under similar synoptic patterns—where minimum temperatures can shift several degrees with small changes in cloud cover or wind—explains why mid-range probabilities cluster around 7–9 °C while traders price in meaningful tail risk. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and Roshydromet over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
7 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts points to northwest winds and persistent cloud cover with light rain or showers limiting radiative cooling over Moscow on September 7, keeping the overnight minimum near 7–9 °C. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing and strength of cold-air advection behind the recent frontal passage, which supports the near-even market split between outcomes above 13 °C and at or below 3 °C. Historical early-September variability under similar synoptic patterns—where minimum temperatures can shift several degrees with small changes in cloud cover or wind—explains why mid-range probabilities cluster around 7–9 °C while traders price in meaningful tail risk. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and Roshydromet over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
7 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts points to northwest winds and persistent cloud cover with light rain or showers limiting radiative cooling over Moscow on September 7, keeping the overnight minimum near 7–9 °C. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing and strength of cold-air advection behind the recent frontal passage, which supports the near-even market split between outcomes above 13 °C and at or below 3 °C. Historical early-September variability under similar synoptic patterns—where minimum temperatures can shift several degrees with small changes in cloud cover or wind—explains why mid-range probabilities cluster around 7–9 °C while traders price in meaningful tail risk. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and Roshydromet over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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