**Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and world-weather.info point to an overnight low near 70–72°F for New York City on August 19, 2026, aligning with the market's leading bins (72–73°F at 45.5% and 74–75°F at 30.5%).** This reflects typical late-summer conditions in the region, where average August lows hover around 67°F but have trended warmer this month per National Weather Service outlooks. Key scientific factors include the urban heat island effect from concrete and buildings, which retains daytime heat; moderate humidity levels reducing radiative cooling overnight; and light wind patterns that limit mixing with cooler air aloft. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or clear skies that would drive deeper cooling, keeping the minimum in the low-to-mid 70s range. Traders appear to weight the latest short-term guidance heavily, as small shifts in cloud cover or dew points can alter the low by 1–3°F. With resolution imminent, updates from the National Weather Service or local observations will likely refine these implied probabilities further.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 19 août ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 19 août ?
72-73°F 47%
74-75 °F 25%
70-71°F 20%
68-69 °F 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
61°F ou moins
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67 °F
2%
68-69 °F
10%
70-71°F
21%
72-73°F
47%
74-75 °F
25%
76-77 °F
8%
78-79 °F
1%
80°F ou plus
<1%
72-73°F 47%
74-75 °F 25%
70-71°F 20%
68-69 °F 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
61°F ou moins
$5 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$10 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$10 Vol.
4%
66-67 °F
$45 Vol.
2%
68-69 °F
$94 Vol.
10%
70-71°F
$71 Vol.
21%
72-73°F
$34 Vol.
47%
74-75 °F
$37 Vol.
25%
76-77 °F
$89 Vol.
8%
78-79 °F
$5 Vol.
1%
80°F ou plus
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and world-weather.info point to an overnight low near 70–72°F for New York City on August 19, 2026, aligning with the market's leading bins (72–73°F at 45.5% and 74–75°F at 30.5%).**
This reflects typical late-summer conditions in the region, where average August lows hover around 67°F but have trended warmer this month per National Weather Service outlooks. Key scientific factors include the urban heat island effect from concrete and buildings, which retains daytime heat; moderate humidity levels reducing radiative cooling overnight; and light wind patterns that limit mixing with cooler air aloft. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or clear skies that would drive deeper cooling, keeping the minimum in the low-to-mid 70s range.
Traders appear to weight the latest short-term guidance heavily, as small shifts in cloud cover or dew points can alter the low by 1–3°F. With resolution imminent, updates from the National Weather Service or local observations will likely refine these implied probabilities further.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$405Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and world-weather.info point to an overnight low near 70–72°F for New York City on August 19, 2026, aligning with the market's leading bins (72–73°F at 45.5% and 74–75°F at 30.5%).**
This reflects typical late-summer conditions in the region, where average August lows hover around 67°F but have trended warmer this month per National Weather Service outlooks. Key scientific factors include the urban heat island effect from concrete and buildings, which retains daytime heat; moderate humidity levels reducing radiative cooling overnight; and light wind patterns that limit mixing with cooler air aloft. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or clear skies that would drive deeper cooling, keeping the minimum in the low-to-mid 70s range.
Traders appear to weight the latest short-term guidance heavily, as small shifts in cloud cover or dew points can alter the low by 1–3°F. With resolution imminent, updates from the National Weather Service or local observations will likely refine these implied probabilities further.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$405Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and world-weather.info point to an overnight low near 70–72°F for New York City on August 19, 2026, aligning with the market's leading bins (72–73°F at 45.5% and 74–75°F at 30.5%).** This reflects typical late-summer conditions in the region, where average August lows hover around 67°F but have trended warmer this month per National Weather Service outlooks. Key scientific factors include the urban heat island effect from concrete and buildings, which retains daytime heat; moderate humidity levels reducing radiative cooling overnight; and light wind patterns that limit mixing with cooler air aloft. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or clear skies that would drive deeper cooling, keeping the minimum in the low-to-mid 70s range. Traders appear to weight the latest short-term guidance heavily, as small shifts in cloud cover or dew points can alter the low by 1–3°F. With resolution imminent, updates from the National Weather Service or local observations will likely refine these implied probabilities further.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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