**Trader consensus centers on a mild overnight low of 76–81°F for New York City on August 9, reflecting the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center’s “leaning above” normal temperature outlook for the month and persistent humid conditions limiting radiative cooling.** August climatology shows an average low near 70°F at Central Park, but recent model guidance and long-range forecasts indicate elevated dew points and light winds will suppress overnight temperature drops, with forecast lows clustered around 77–78°F. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that modulates longwave radiation loss, urban heat island effects in Manhattan, and steering patterns that could allow slightly cooler maritime air or maintain southerly flow. With probabilities tightly bunched, small shifts in the latest National Weather Service or NOAA model runs—particularly updates to humidity and wind fields—could quickly reweight the adjacent bins before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 9 août ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 9 août ?
78-79°F 21%
76-77°F 20%
80-81°F 15%
74-75°F 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 août 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
8%
84°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 21%
76-77°F 20%
80-81°F 15%
74-75°F 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 août 2026
65°F or below
$28 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$50 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$41 Vol.
4%
70-71°F
$6 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
7%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
8%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
20%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
21%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
15%
82-83°F
$109 Vol.
8%
84°F or higher
$47 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a mild overnight low of 76–81°F for New York City on August 9, reflecting the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center’s “leaning above” normal temperature outlook for the month and persistent humid conditions limiting radiative cooling.**
August climatology shows an average low near 70°F at Central Park, but recent model guidance and long-range forecasts indicate elevated dew points and light winds will suppress overnight temperature drops, with forecast lows clustered around 77–78°F. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that modulates longwave radiation loss, urban heat island effects in Manhattan, and steering patterns that could allow slightly cooler maritime air or maintain southerly flow. With probabilities tightly bunched, small shifts in the latest National Weather Service or NOAA model runs—particularly updates to humidity and wind fields—could quickly reweight the adjacent bins before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$280Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a mild overnight low of 76–81°F for New York City on August 9, reflecting the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center’s “leaning above” normal temperature outlook for the month and persistent humid conditions limiting radiative cooling.**
August climatology shows an average low near 70°F at Central Park, but recent model guidance and long-range forecasts indicate elevated dew points and light winds will suppress overnight temperature drops, with forecast lows clustered around 77–78°F. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that modulates longwave radiation loss, urban heat island effects in Manhattan, and steering patterns that could allow slightly cooler maritime air or maintain southerly flow. With probabilities tightly bunched, small shifts in the latest National Weather Service or NOAA model runs—particularly updates to humidity and wind fields—could quickly reweight the adjacent bins before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$280Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a mild overnight low of 76–81°F for New York City on August 9, reflecting the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center’s “leaning above” normal temperature outlook for the month and persistent humid conditions limiting radiative cooling.** August climatology shows an average low near 70°F at Central Park, but recent model guidance and long-range forecasts indicate elevated dew points and light winds will suppress overnight temperature drops, with forecast lows clustered around 77–78°F. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that modulates longwave radiation loss, urban heat island effects in Manhattan, and steering patterns that could allow slightly cooler maritime air or maintain southerly flow. With probabilities tightly bunched, small shifts in the latest National Weather Service or NOAA model runs—particularly updates to humidity and wind fields—could quickly reweight the adjacent bins before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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