Recent observational data from Sao Paulo stations, including Congonhas Airport reports, indicate a minimum temperature of 14°C on September 15, 2026, with overnight lows stabilizing near 13–14°C under overcast skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when average minima hover around 12–14°C, and supports the market's 95% implied probability on 14°C as trader consensus on verified measurements rather than forecasts. Model runs had previously suggested possible dips to 13°C amid scattered showers, yet final hourly archives show no breach below 13.3°C. Resolution hinges on official INMET or equivalent agency confirmation; any post-event data revision or differing station reading could shift odds toward 13°C, though such adjustments remain uncommon.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Sao Paulo le 15 septembre ?
14°C 100.0%
10°C ou moins 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
11°C <1%
$911 Vol.
$911 Vol.
10°C ou moins
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Oui
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C ou plus
Non
14°C 100.0%
10°C ou moins 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
11°C <1%
$911 Vol.
$911 Vol.
10°C ou moins
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Oui
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent observational data from Sao Paulo stations, including Congonhas Airport reports, indicate a minimum temperature of 14°C on September 15, 2026, with overnight lows stabilizing near 13–14°C under overcast skies and light southerly winds. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when average minima hover around 12–14°C, and supports the market's 95% implied probability on 14°C as trader consensus on verified measurements rather than forecasts. Model runs had previously suggested possible dips to 13°C amid scattered showers, yet final hourly archives show no breach below 13.3°C. Resolution hinges on official INMET or equivalent agency confirmation; any post-event data revision or differing station reading could shift odds toward 13°C, though such adjustments remain uncommon.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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