KMA short-range forecasts and midday observations have locked trader consensus on a 25°C minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 14, with the market assigning near-certainty to this outcome. The agency’s official guidance projects a morning low of exactly 25°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and high humidity near 80%, consistent with mid-August regional climatology where overnight radiative cooling is limited by urban heat and moisture. Recent heatwave conditions have kept diurnal ranges compressed, but no model runs or station data indicate further drops below this threshold. A sudden convective shower or revised station reading could still shift the recorded minimum, though such developments appear improbable given current atmospheric stability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Séoul (Incheon) le 14 août ?
Température la plus basse à Séoul (Incheon) le 14 août ?
25°C 100.0%
20°C ou moins <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$16,247 Vol.
$16,247 Vol.
14 août 2026
20°C ou moins
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Oui
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C ou plus
Non
25°C 100.0%
20°C ou moins <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$16,247 Vol.
$16,247 Vol.
14 août 2026
20°C ou moins
$307 Vol.
Non
21°C
$574 Vol.
Non
22°C
$985 Vol.
Non
23°C
$1,523 Vol.
Non
24°C
$3,412 Vol.
Non
25°C
$4,803 Vol.
Oui
26°C
$2,316 Vol.
Non
27°C
$1,181 Vol.
Non
28°C
$425 Vol.
Non
29°C
$396 Vol.
Non
30°C ou plus
$328 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.KMA short-range forecasts and midday observations have locked trader consensus on a 25°C minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 14, with the market assigning near-certainty to this outcome. The agency’s official guidance projects a morning low of exactly 25°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and high humidity near 80%, consistent with mid-August regional climatology where overnight radiative cooling is limited by urban heat and moisture. Recent heatwave conditions have kept diurnal ranges compressed, but no model runs or station data indicate further drops below this threshold. A sudden convective shower or revised station reading could still shift the recorded minimum, though such developments appear improbable given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$16,247Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.KMA short-range forecasts and midday observations have locked trader consensus on a 25°C minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 14, with the market assigning near-certainty to this outcome. The agency’s official guidance projects a morning low of exactly 25°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and high humidity near 80%, consistent with mid-August regional climatology where overnight radiative cooling is limited by urban heat and moisture. Recent heatwave conditions have kept diurnal ranges compressed, but no model runs or station data indicate further drops below this threshold. A sudden convective shower or revised station reading could still shift the recorded minimum, though such developments appear improbable given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,247Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
KMA short-range forecasts and midday observations have locked trader consensus on a 25°C minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 14, with the market assigning near-certainty to this outcome. The agency’s official guidance projects a morning low of exactly 25°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and high humidity near 80%, consistent with mid-August regional climatology where overnight radiative cooling is limited by urban heat and moisture. Recent heatwave conditions have kept diurnal ranges compressed, but no model runs or station data indicate further drops below this threshold. A sudden convective shower or revised station reading could still shift the recorded minimum, though such developments appear improbable given current atmospheric stability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes