Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate the overnight low in Tel Aviv on August 29, 2026, will reach a minimum near 24–26°C, consistent with typical late-August Mediterranean conditions where sea breezes and high humidity limit radiative cooling. Model consensus supports this range, with early-morning readings around 24–25°C and no indications of stronger cooling from clear skies or wind shifts. The 91.5% market-implied probability on 24°C reflects traders' assessment of these stable summer patterns and historical baselines showing August lows rarely falling below 23°C. A realistic challenge would require an atypical nocturnal temperature drop of 2–3°C below projections, possible only under unforeseen clear, calm conditions that current guidance does not support.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tel Aviv le 29 août ?
24°C 99%
21°C 6%
23°C 3%
22°C 2%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
99%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99%
21°C 6%
23°C 3%
22°C 2%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
99%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate the overnight low in Tel Aviv on August 29, 2026, will reach a minimum near 24–26°C, consistent with typical late-August Mediterranean conditions where sea breezes and high humidity limit radiative cooling. Model consensus supports this range, with early-morning readings around 24–25°C and no indications of stronger cooling from clear skies or wind shifts. The 91.5% market-implied probability on 24°C reflects traders' assessment of these stable summer patterns and historical baselines showing August lows rarely falling below 23°C. A realistic challenge would require an atypical nocturnal temperature drop of 2–3°C below projections, possible only under unforeseen clear, calm conditions that current guidance does not support.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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