Current forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C in Tel Aviv on September 7, consistent with the market's leading outcome at 43.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure, light variable winds, and elevated Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and maintaining high humidity levels that support overnight lows around 24–26°C. Recent observations show seasonal conditions with no incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover to alter the pattern. Model consensus remains tight on this range, though minor shifts in steering winds or moisture could push the exact minimum toward adjacent buckets such as 24°C or 26°C, which also carry notable market weight. The 20°C-or-below outcome at 32% reflects residual uncertainty but aligns less with the latest guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tel Aviv le 7 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Tel Aviv le 7 septembre ?
25°C 54%
30°C ou plus 52%
20°C ou moins 49%
22°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
49%
21°C
43%
22°C
49%
23°C
24%
24°C
31%
25°C
45%
26°C
48%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C ou plus
52%
25°C 54%
30°C ou plus 52%
20°C ou moins 49%
22°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$0 Vol.
43%
22°C
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
24%
24°C
$21 Vol.
31%
25°C
$24 Vol.
45%
26°C
$0 Vol.
48%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C in Tel Aviv on September 7, consistent with the market's leading outcome at 43.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure, light variable winds, and elevated Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and maintaining high humidity levels that support overnight lows around 24–26°C. Recent observations show seasonal conditions with no incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover to alter the pattern. Model consensus remains tight on this range, though minor shifts in steering winds or moisture could push the exact minimum toward adjacent buckets such as 24°C or 26°C, which also carry notable market weight. The 20°C-or-below outcome at 32% reflects residual uncertainty but aligns less with the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$45Date de fin
7 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C in Tel Aviv on September 7, consistent with the market's leading outcome at 43.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure, light variable winds, and elevated Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and maintaining high humidity levels that support overnight lows around 24–26°C. Recent observations show seasonal conditions with no incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover to alter the pattern. Model consensus remains tight on this range, though minor shifts in steering winds or moisture could push the exact minimum toward adjacent buckets such as 24°C or 26°C, which also carry notable market weight. The 20°C-or-below outcome at 32% reflects residual uncertainty but aligns less with the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45Date de fin
7 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C in Tel Aviv on September 7, consistent with the market's leading outcome at 43.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure, light variable winds, and elevated Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and maintaining high humidity levels that support overnight lows around 24–26°C. Recent observations show seasonal conditions with no incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover to alter the pattern. Model consensus remains tight on this range, though minor shifts in steering winds or moisture could push the exact minimum toward adjacent buckets such as 24°C or 26°C, which also carry notable market weight. The 20°C-or-below outcome at 32% reflects residual uncertainty but aligns less with the latest guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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