Current forecasts from regional models and the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate persistent high pressure and above-normal summer warmth across the Kanto region, supporting trader consensus around a 27°C overnight minimum for Tokyo on August 25. High humidity and the urban heat island effect limit nocturnal cooling, while light winds and partly cloudy skies further stabilize temperatures near recent climatological averages of 24–26°C. Short-term ensemble runs show limited spread, with only modest cooling possible from increased cloud cover or a weak frontal passage. Updated JMA guidance and next model cycles through August 24 will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 25 août ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 25 août ?
27°C 46%
26°C 23%
28°C 22%
24°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
7%
26°C
23%
27°C
46%
28°C
22%
29°C
9%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 46%
26°C 23%
28°C 22%
24°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
21°C or below
$550 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$25 Vol.
1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
9%
25°C
$92 Vol.
7%
26°C
$62 Vol.
23%
27°C
$90 Vol.
46%
28°C
$165 Vol.
22%
29°C
$5 Vol.
9%
30°C
$5 Vol.
7%
31°C or higher
$395 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models and the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate persistent high pressure and above-normal summer warmth across the Kanto region, supporting trader consensus around a 27°C overnight minimum for Tokyo on August 25. High humidity and the urban heat island effect limit nocturnal cooling, while light winds and partly cloudy skies further stabilize temperatures near recent climatological averages of 24–26°C. Short-term ensemble runs show limited spread, with only modest cooling possible from increased cloud cover or a weak frontal passage. Updated JMA guidance and next model cycles through August 24 will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,434Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models and the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate persistent high pressure and above-normal summer warmth across the Kanto region, supporting trader consensus around a 27°C overnight minimum for Tokyo on August 25. High humidity and the urban heat island effect limit nocturnal cooling, while light winds and partly cloudy skies further stabilize temperatures near recent climatological averages of 24–26°C. Short-term ensemble runs show limited spread, with only modest cooling possible from increased cloud cover or a weak frontal passage. Updated JMA guidance and next model cycles through August 24 will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,434Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional models and the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate persistent high pressure and above-normal summer warmth across the Kanto region, supporting trader consensus around a 27°C overnight minimum for Tokyo on August 25. High humidity and the urban heat island effect limit nocturnal cooling, while light winds and partly cloudy skies further stabilize temperatures near recent climatological averages of 24–26°C. Short-term ensemble runs show limited spread, with only modest cooling possible from increased cloud cover or a weak frontal passage. Updated JMA guidance and next model cycles through August 24 will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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