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Politique·Primaires

Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine du gouverneur du Maine

icon for Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine du gouverneur du Maine
Politique·Primaires

Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine du gouverneur du Maine

Robert Charles 53%

Ben Midgley 24%

Garrett Mason 11%

Jonathan Bush 7.2%

Polymarket

$28,149 Vol.

Robert Charles 53%

Ben Midgley 24%

Garrett Mason 11%

Jonathan Bush 7.2%

Polymarket

$28,149 Vol.

Robert Charles

$5,540 Vol.

53%

Ben Midgley

$2,225 Vol.

24%

Garrett Mason

$899 Vol.

11%

Jonathan Bush

$11,955 Vol.

7%

Ken Capron

$1,627 Vol.

3%

David Jones

$1,972 Vol.

1%

James Libby

$954 Vol.

1%

Robert Wessels

$1,443 Vol.

1%

Owen McCarthy

$1,535 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Robert Charles leads the Maine Republican gubernatorial primary market at 53% implied probability, reflecting his early polling edge from February surveys showing 28% support among GOP voters, bolstered by national experience as former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State and targeted outreach to older voters via social media. Ben Midgley's 24% share surged after winning the Maine GOP straw poll on April 20 despite distribution issues, while his May 7 second-choice alliance with David Jones aims to consolidate anti-Charles votes under ranked-choice voting rules ahead of the June 9 primary. Garrett Mason's 10.5% draws from his prior 2018 runner-up finish as ex-Senate Majority Leader, though Jonathan Bush lags at 7.2% despite strong fundraising over $2 million. Charles' recent debate absences have fueled scrutiny, but trader consensus prioritizes his frontrunner momentum in the crowded nine-candidate field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$28,149
Date de fin
9 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Robert Charles leads the Maine Republican gubernatorial primary market at 53% implied probability, reflecting his early polling edge from February surveys showing 28% support among GOP voters, bolstered by national experience as former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State and targeted outreach to older voters via social media. Ben Midgley's 24% share surged after winning the Maine GOP straw poll on April 20 despite distribution issues, while his May 7 second-choice alliance with David Jones aims to consolidate anti-Charles votes under ranked-choice voting rules ahead of the June 9 primary. Garrett Mason's 10.5% draws from his prior 2018 runner-up finish as ex-Senate Majority Leader, though Jonathan Bush lags at 7.2% despite strong fundraising over $2 million. Charles' recent debate absences have fueled scrutiny, but trader consensus prioritizes his frontrunner momentum in the crowded nine-candidate field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$28,149
Date de fin
9 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine du gouverneur du Maine » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 9 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Robert Charles » à 53%, suivi de « Ben Midgley » à 24%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 53¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 53% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine du gouverneur du Maine » a généré $28.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 11, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine du gouverneur du Maine », parcourez les 9 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine du gouverneur du Maine » est « Robert Charles » à 53%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 53% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Ben Midgley » à 24%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine du gouverneur du Maine » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.