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Politique·Élection Américaine

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Massachusetts

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Massachusetts
Politique·Élection Américaine

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Massachusetts

$25,272 Vol.

Polymarket

$25,272 Vol.

icon for Démocrate

Démocrate

$12,362 Vol.

96%

icon for Républicain

Républicain

$12,910 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey commands trader consensus at 95.9% implied probability for reelection on November 3, 2026, driven by Massachusetts' deep-blue partisan lean—last Republican governor Charlie Baker left office in 2023—and Healey's 2022 landslide victory amid a fragmented GOP primary field featuring Mike Kennealy, Mike Minogue, and Brian Shortsleeve. Recent MassINC and UNH polls from May and April 2026 show Healey's approval dipping to net negative (39% approve, 45% disapprove) due to voter concerns over housing costs and living expenses, yet available head-to-head surveys maintain her double-digit leads over Republicans. Scenarios to challenge this include a credible Democratic primary upset on September 1, major scandal or health event for Healey, or unified GOP recruitment of a Baker-like moderate ahead of filing deadlines.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$25,272
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey commands trader consensus at 95.9% implied probability for reelection on November 3, 2026, driven by Massachusetts' deep-blue partisan lean—last Republican governor Charlie Baker left office in 2023—and Healey's 2022 landslide victory amid a fragmented GOP primary field featuring Mike Kennealy, Mike Minogue, and Brian Shortsleeve. Recent MassINC and UNH polls from May and April 2026 show Healey's approval dipping to net negative (39% approve, 45% disapprove) due to voter concerns over housing costs and living expenses, yet available head-to-head surveys maintain her double-digit leads over Republicans. Scenarios to challenge this include a credible Democratic primary upset on September 1, major scandal or health event for Healey, or unified GOP recruitment of a Baker-like moderate ahead of filing deadlines.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$25,272
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Massachusetts » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Démocrate » à 96%, suivi de « Républicain » à 5%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 96¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 96% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Massachusetts » a généré $25.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 13, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Massachusetts », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Massachusetts » est « Démocrate » à 96%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 96% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Républicain » à 5%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Massachusetts » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.