A crowded eight-candidate Republican primary for Florida’s 14th congressional district, set for August 18, 2026, has produced fragmented support with no dominant frontrunner. Recent entries by state Rep. Kevin Steele and former state Rep. Mike Beltran, combined with candidates including Bea Valenti, Michael Marcel, John Peters, Robert “Rocky” Rochford, Gavriel Soriano, and Ergin “Batman” Tek, have kept vote shares dispersed. A mid-July St. Pete Polls survey showed Beltran leading the primary field at 30% and Steele at 18%, while the redrawn district—now more Republican-leaning after decades under Democrat Kathy Castor—adds general-election stakes without clarifying the GOP nominee. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with multiple contenders clustered near even odds and limited separation driven by low name recognition and minimal late-campaign consolidation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKevin Steele 75%
Ergin "Batman" Tek 31%
John Peters 30%
Gavriel Soriano 30%
Kevin Steele
70%
Ergin "Batman" Tek
31%
John Peters
30%
Gavriel Soriano
30%
Bea Valenti
28%
Michael Marcel
24%
Robert "Rocky" Rochford
24%
Mike Beltran
14%
Kevin Steele 75%
Ergin "Batman" Tek 31%
John Peters 30%
Gavriel Soriano 30%
Kevin Steele
70%
Ergin "Batman" Tek
31%
John Peters
30%
Gavriel Soriano
30%
Bea Valenti
28%
Michael Marcel
24%
Robert "Rocky" Rochford
24%
Mike Beltran
14%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Jul 23, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A crowded eight-candidate Republican primary for Florida’s 14th congressional district, set for August 18, 2026, has produced fragmented support with no dominant frontrunner. Recent entries by state Rep. Kevin Steele and former state Rep. Mike Beltran, combined with candidates including Bea Valenti, Michael Marcel, John Peters, Robert “Rocky” Rochford, Gavriel Soriano, and Ergin “Batman” Tek, have kept vote shares dispersed. A mid-July St. Pete Polls survey showed Beltran leading the primary field at 30% and Steele at 18%, while the redrawn district—now more Republican-leaning after decades under Democrat Kathy Castor—adds general-election stakes without clarifying the GOP nominee. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with multiple contenders clustered near even odds and limited separation driven by low name recognition and minimal late-campaign consolidation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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