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Politique·Primaires

Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine MI-10

icon for Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine MI-10
Politique·Primaires

Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine MI-10

Mike Bouchard 79%

Robert Lulgjuraj 18.6%

Casey Armitage 2.5%

Justin Kirk <1%

Polymarket

$14,356 Vol.

Mike Bouchard 79%

Robert Lulgjuraj 18.6%

Casey Armitage 2.5%

Justin Kirk <1%

Polymarket

$14,356 Vol.

Mike Bouchard

$4,144 Vol.

79%

Robert Lulgjuraj

$3,519 Vol.

19%

Casey Armitage

$2,903 Vol.

3%

Justin Kirk

$1,397 Vol.

1%

Steven Elliott

$2,392 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mike Bouchard holds a dominant position in the Michigan 10th Congressional District Republican primary, scheduled for August 4, 2026, due to his established name recognition as the son of Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard, military service including Army Airborne and National Guard roles, and recent endorsements from groups such as the Police Officers Association of Michigan. Fundraising strength and allied super PAC support have further reinforced his lead. Robert Lulgjuraj, the primary challenger and a former Macomb County prosecutor who raised over $1 million, faces ongoing ballot eligibility challenges filed in May 2026 over residency statements and petition signatures, which have constrained his momentum. Lesser-known candidates including Casey Armitage, Justin Kirk, and Steven Elliott trail with minimal reported traction or resources. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and recent legal developments in the open-seat contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,356
Date de fin
4 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mike Bouchard holds a dominant position in the Michigan 10th Congressional District Republican primary, scheduled for August 4, 2026, due to his established name recognition as the son of Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard, military service including Army Airborne and National Guard roles, and recent endorsements from groups such as the Police Officers Association of Michigan. Fundraising strength and allied super PAC support have further reinforced his lead. Robert Lulgjuraj, the primary challenger and a former Macomb County prosecutor who raised over $1 million, faces ongoing ballot eligibility challenges filed in May 2026 over residency statements and petition signatures, which have constrained his momentum. Lesser-known candidates including Casey Armitage, Justin Kirk, and Steven Elliott trail with minimal reported traction or resources. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and recent legal developments in the open-seat contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,356
Date de fin
4 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine MI-10 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Mike Bouchard » à 79%, suivi de « Robert Lulgjuraj » à 19%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 79¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 79% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine MI-10 » a généré $14.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 18, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine MI-10 », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine MI-10 » est « Mike Bouchard » à 79%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 79% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Robert Lulgjuraj » à 19%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine MI-10 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.