Steve Hilton holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Orange County winner in California’s June 2, 2026, top-two gubernatorial primary due to strong Republican consolidation in the county following Donald Trump’s April endorsement, which helped him surpass Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco as the party’s clear frontrunner. Orange County’s suburban voter base and history of supporting Republican candidates amplified this advantage, while the Democratic field remained fragmented among Xavier Becerra, Katie Porter, Tom Steyer, and others. With the primary concluded and Hilton advancing statewide alongside Becerra, market pricing reflects the low likelihood of late vote-count shifts or procedural challenges altering the county outcome. Scenarios that could still move odds include certified results showing unexpected Democratic strength in specific precincts or a successful challenge to ballot validity, though both appear remote given current tallies.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCalifornia Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner
California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner
Steve Hilton 97.5%
Matt Mahan 1.5%
Chad Bianco 1.3%
Xavier Becerra <1%
$4,766 Vol.
$4,766 Vol.
2 juin 2026
Steve Hilton
98%
Matt Mahan
2%
Chad Bianco
1%
Xavier Becerra
1%
Katie Porter
1%
Tony Thurmond
1%
Tom Steyer
1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
<1%
Steve Hilton 97.5%
Matt Mahan 1.5%
Chad Bianco 1.3%
Xavier Becerra <1%
$4,766 Vol.
$4,766 Vol.
2 juin 2026
Steve Hilton
$1,678 Vol.
98%
Matt Mahan
$165 Vol.
2%
Chad Bianco
$1,218 Vol.
1%
Xavier Becerra
$766 Vol.
1%
Katie Porter
$228 Vol.
1%
Tony Thurmond
$200 Vol.
1%
Tom Steyer
$217 Vol.
1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
$294 Vol.
<1%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Steve Hilton holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Orange County winner in California’s June 2, 2026, top-two gubernatorial primary due to strong Republican consolidation in the county following Donald Trump’s April endorsement, which helped him surpass Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco as the party’s clear frontrunner. Orange County’s suburban voter base and history of supporting Republican candidates amplified this advantage, while the Democratic field remained fragmented among Xavier Becerra, Katie Porter, Tom Steyer, and others. With the primary concluded and Hilton advancing statewide alongside Becerra, market pricing reflects the low likelihood of late vote-count shifts or procedural challenges altering the county outcome. Scenarios that could still move odds include certified results showing unexpected Democratic strength in specific precincts or a successful challenge to ballot validity, though both appear remote given current tallies.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Marché ouvert : May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ET
Volume
$4,766Date de fin
2 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Steve Hilton holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Orange County winner in California’s June 2, 2026, top-two gubernatorial primary due to strong Republican consolidation in the county following Donald Trump’s April endorsement, which helped him surpass Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco as the party’s clear frontrunner. Orange County’s suburban voter base and history of supporting Republican candidates amplified this advantage, while the Democratic field remained fragmented among Xavier Becerra, Katie Porter, Tom Steyer, and others. With the primary concluded and Hilton advancing statewide alongside Becerra, market pricing reflects the low likelihood of late vote-count shifts or procedural challenges altering the county outcome. Scenarios that could still move odds include certified results showing unexpected Democratic strength in specific precincts or a successful challenge to ballot validity, though both appear remote given current tallies.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$4,766Date de fin
2 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Steve Hilton holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Orange County winner in California’s June 2, 2026, top-two gubernatorial primary due to strong Republican consolidation in the county following Donald Trump’s April endorsement, which helped him surpass Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco as the party’s clear frontrunner. Orange County’s suburban voter base and history of supporting Republican candidates amplified this advantage, while the Democratic field remained fragmented among Xavier Becerra, Katie Porter, Tom Steyer, and others. With the primary concluded and Hilton advancing statewide alongside Becerra, market pricing reflects the low likelihood of late vote-count shifts or procedural challenges altering the county outcome. Scenarios that could still move odds include certified results showing unexpected Democratic strength in specific precincts or a successful challenge to ballot validity, though both appear remote given current tallies.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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