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icon for Prochain chef de la majorité au Sénat ?
Élections·Sénat

Prochain chef de la majorité au Sénat ?

icon for Prochain chef de la majorité au Sénat ?
Élections·Sénat

Prochain chef de la majorité au Sénat ?

John Thune 42%

Chuck Schumer 40%

Brian Schatz 5.0%

Tom Cotton 3.5%

Polymarket

$151,712 Vol.

John Thune 42%

Chuck Schumer 40%

Brian Schatz 5.0%

Tom Cotton 3.5%

Polymarket

$151,712 Vol.

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$24,941 Vol.

42%

icon for Chuck Schumer

Chuck Schumer

$13,735 Vol.

40%

icon for Brian Schatz

Brian Schatz

$2,882 Vol.

5%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$7,630 Vol.

4%

icon for John Barrasso

John Barrasso

$4,435 Vol.

1%

icon for Steve Daines

Steve Daines

$24,200 Vol.

1%

icon for Patty Murray

Patty Murray

$5,031 Vol.

1%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$3,751 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$5,335 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amy Klobuchar

Amy Klobuchar

$4,673 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Close contest between John Thune and Chuck Schumer stems from uncertainty over Senate control after the 2026 midterms, where Republicans currently hold a narrow majority and Democrats must net at least four seats to flip the chamber. Thune serves as the incumbent Republican leader entering the cycle, while Schumer leads Democrats and has emphasized expanding the map in recent interviews. Recent bipartisan negotiations on appropriations and other measures highlight both leaders' roles in managing the current Congress. Other candidates remain long shots due to party caucus dynamics and limited public positioning. Upcoming primary outcomes, candidate recruitment, and polling in key battlegrounds could shift implied probabilities by clarifying each party's path to 51 seats.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volume
$151,712
Date de fin
3 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Close contest between John Thune and Chuck Schumer stems from uncertainty over Senate control after the 2026 midterms, where Republicans currently hold a narrow majority and Democrats must net at least four seats to flip the chamber. Thune serves as the incumbent Republican leader entering the cycle, while Schumer leads Democrats and has emphasized expanding the map in recent interviews. Recent bipartisan negotiations on appropriations and other measures highlight both leaders' roles in managing the current Congress. Other candidates remain long shots due to party caucus dynamics and limited public positioning. Upcoming primary outcomes, candidate recruitment, and polling in key battlegrounds could shift implied probabilities by clarifying each party's path to 51 seats.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volume
$151,712
Date de fin
3 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Connexes

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Will James Talarico be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

11%
icon for Kate Marshall va-t-elle gagner l’élection municipale de Reno en 2026 ?

Kate Marshall va-t-elle gagner l’élection municipale de Reno en 2026 ?

90%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Prochain chef de la majorité au Sénat ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « John Thune » à 42%, suivi de « Chuck Schumer » à 40%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 42¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 42% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Prochain chef de la majorité au Sénat ? » a généré $151.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 23, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Prochain chef de la majorité au Sénat ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Prochain chef de la majorité au Sénat ? » est « John Thune » à 42%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 42% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Chuck Schumer » à 40%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Prochain chef de la majorité au Sénat ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.