Paloma Valencia’s weak standing in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential contest stems from the right’s fragmentation and voter shift toward Abelardo de la Espriella’s hardline security platform. After winning the Democratic Center primary, Valencia’s support eroded as polls showed de la Espriella consolidating conservative voters disillusioned with establishment figures, particularly after her selection of a moderate running mate. The confirmed 6.9 percent first-round result aligns with late polling trends placing her third behind de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda. Scenarios that could have altered this outcome included stronger coalition consolidation behind her Uribe-aligned candidacy or a reversal in de la Espriella’s momentum before election day, though neither materialized.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPaloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
<10% 99.6%
10-15% <1%
25-30% <1%
35%+ <1%
$14,641 Vol.
$14,641 Vol.
31 mai 2026
<10%
100%
10-15%
<1%
15-20%
<1%
20-25%
<1%
25-30%
<1%
30-35%
<1%
35%+
<1%
<10% 99.6%
10-15% <1%
25-30% <1%
35%+ <1%
$14,641 Vol.
$14,641 Vol.
31 mai 2026
<10%
$7,693 Vol.
100%
10-15%
$1,553 Vol.
<1%
15-20%
$733 Vol.
<1%
20-25%
$1,062 Vol.
<1%
25-30%
$2,496 Vol.
<1%
30-35%
$688 Vol.
<1%
35%+
$415 Vol.
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Paloma Valencia’s weak standing in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential contest stems from the right’s fragmentation and voter shift toward Abelardo de la Espriella’s hardline security platform. After winning the Democratic Center primary, Valencia’s support eroded as polls showed de la Espriella consolidating conservative voters disillusioned with establishment figures, particularly after her selection of a moderate running mate. The confirmed 6.9 percent first-round result aligns with late polling trends placing her third behind de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda. Scenarios that could have altered this outcome included stronger coalition consolidation behind her Uribe-aligned candidacy or a reversal in de la Espriella’s momentum before election day, though neither materialized.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Marché ouvert : May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Volume
$14,641Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Paloma Valencia’s weak standing in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential contest stems from the right’s fragmentation and voter shift toward Abelardo de la Espriella’s hardline security platform. After winning the Democratic Center primary, Valencia’s support eroded as polls showed de la Espriella consolidating conservative voters disillusioned with establishment figures, particularly after her selection of a moderate running mate. The confirmed 6.9 percent first-round result aligns with late polling trends placing her third behind de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda. Scenarios that could have altered this outcome included stronger coalition consolidation behind her Uribe-aligned candidacy or a reversal in de la Espriella’s momentum before election day, though neither materialized.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volume
$14,641Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Paloma Valencia’s weak standing in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential contest stems from the right’s fragmentation and voter shift toward Abelardo de la Espriella’s hardline security platform. After winning the Democratic Center primary, Valencia’s support eroded as polls showed de la Espriella consolidating conservative voters disillusioned with establishment figures, particularly after her selection of a moderate running mate. The confirmed 6.9 percent first-round result aligns with late polling trends placing her third behind de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda. Scenarios that could have altered this outcome included stronger coalition consolidation behind her Uribe-aligned candidacy or a reversal in de la Espriella’s momentum before election day, though neither materialized.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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