Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's minority PSOE-led government, reliant on Sumar and regional party support, has maintained stability through 2026 despite persistent corruption probes and opposition pressure from PP and Vox, reflected in trader consensus pricing "No" at 78%. Sánchez explicitly confirmed his 2027 re-election bid in recent statements, rejecting early dissolution calls as he controls the timing under Spain's constitution. April polls showed PSOE rebounding to around 110 seats, bolstering coalition confidence amid economic growth outpacing EU peers. No no-confidence votes, budget failures, or parliamentary deadlocks have emerged in the past 30 days to prompt a snap election before the August 2027 deadline, though regional far-right gains keep uncertainty alive.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$18,894 Vol.
$18,894 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$18,894 Vol.
$18,894 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's minority PSOE-led government, reliant on Sumar and regional party support, has maintained stability through 2026 despite persistent corruption probes and opposition pressure from PP and Vox, reflected in trader consensus pricing "No" at 78%. Sánchez explicitly confirmed his 2027 re-election bid in recent statements, rejecting early dissolution calls as he controls the timing under Spain's constitution. April polls showed PSOE rebounding to around 110 seats, bolstering coalition confidence amid economic growth outpacing EU peers. No no-confidence votes, budget failures, or parliamentary deadlocks have emerged in the past 30 days to prompt a snap election before the August 2027 deadline, though regional far-right gains keep uncertainty alive.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Volume
$18,894Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's minority PSOE-led government, reliant on Sumar and regional party support, has maintained stability through 2026 despite persistent corruption probes and opposition pressure from PP and Vox, reflected in trader consensus pricing "No" at 78%. Sánchez explicitly confirmed his 2027 re-election bid in recent statements, rejecting early dissolution calls as he controls the timing under Spain's constitution. April polls showed PSOE rebounding to around 110 seats, bolstering coalition confidence amid economic growth outpacing EU peers. No no-confidence votes, budget failures, or parliamentary deadlocks have emerged in the past 30 days to prompt a snap election before the August 2027 deadline, though regional far-right gains keep uncertainty alive.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,894Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's minority PSOE-led government, reliant on Sumar and regional party support, has maintained stability through 2026 despite persistent corruption probes and opposition pressure from PP and Vox, reflected in trader consensus pricing "No" at 78%. Sánchez explicitly confirmed his 2027 re-election bid in recent statements, rejecting early dissolution calls as he controls the timing under Spain's constitution. April polls showed PSOE rebounding to around 110 seats, bolstering coalition confidence amid economic growth outpacing EU peers. No no-confidence votes, budget failures, or parliamentary deadlocks have emerged in the past 30 days to prompt a snap election before the August 2027 deadline, though regional far-right gains keep uncertainty alive.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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