**Strong holdover momentum and the Labor Day holiday weekend are positioning Spider-Man: Brand New Day for a robust sixth weekend, driving the market’s clear 85.5% implied probability on $15 million-plus.** The film has maintained the domestic No. 1 spot through five weekends with gradually improving holds, posting a 42% drop in its fifth frame to reach roughly $892 million domestically after Labor Day tracking began. Its 2.5x multiplier reflects sustained audience interest fueled by strong critical reception, Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, and Marvel’s franchise appeal, with minimal direct competition heading into the long holiday. Traders appear to be pricing in a typical holiday lift that has historically supported similar tentpoles, while the slim odds on sub-$15 million outcomes reflect the low likelihood of an abrupt collapse given current trajectory and positive word-of-mouth.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour"Spider-Man : Brand New Day" 6e box-office du week-end
"Spider-Man : Brand New Day" 6e box-office du week-end
15 millions + 87%
14-15M 15%
13-14m 1.2%
<11M 1.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
<11M
1%
11-12M
1%
12-13M
1%
13-14m
1%
14-15M
15%
15 millions +
87%
15 millions + 87%
14-15M 15%
13-14m 1.2%
<11M 1.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
<11M
$362 Vol.
1%
11-12M
$361 Vol.
1%
12-13M
$20 Vol.
1%
13-14m
$60 Vol.
1%
14-15M
$131 Vol.
15%
15 millions +
$692 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong holdover momentum and the Labor Day holiday weekend are positioning Spider-Man: Brand New Day for a robust sixth weekend, driving the market’s clear 85.5% implied probability on $15 million-plus.**
The film has maintained the domestic No. 1 spot through five weekends with gradually improving holds, posting a 42% drop in its fifth frame to reach roughly $892 million domestically after Labor Day tracking began. Its 2.5x multiplier reflects sustained audience interest fueled by strong critical reception, Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, and Marvel’s franchise appeal, with minimal direct competition heading into the long holiday. Traders appear to be pricing in a typical holiday lift that has historically supported similar tentpoles, while the slim odds on sub-$15 million outcomes reflect the low likelihood of an abrupt collapse given current trajectory and positive word-of-mouth.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,625Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong holdover momentum and the Labor Day holiday weekend are positioning Spider-Man: Brand New Day for a robust sixth weekend, driving the market’s clear 85.5% implied probability on $15 million-plus.**
The film has maintained the domestic No. 1 spot through five weekends with gradually improving holds, posting a 42% drop in its fifth frame to reach roughly $892 million domestically after Labor Day tracking began. Its 2.5x multiplier reflects sustained audience interest fueled by strong critical reception, Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, and Marvel’s franchise appeal, with minimal direct competition heading into the long holiday. Traders appear to be pricing in a typical holiday lift that has historically supported similar tentpoles, while the slim odds on sub-$15 million outcomes reflect the low likelihood of an abrupt collapse given current trajectory and positive word-of-mouth.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$1,625Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Strong holdover momentum and the Labor Day holiday weekend are positioning Spider-Man: Brand New Day for a robust sixth weekend, driving the market’s clear 85.5% implied probability on $15 million-plus.** The film has maintained the domestic No. 1 spot through five weekends with gradually improving holds, posting a 42% drop in its fifth frame to reach roughly $892 million domestically after Labor Day tracking began. Its 2.5x multiplier reflects sustained audience interest fueled by strong critical reception, Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, and Marvel’s franchise appeal, with minimal direct competition heading into the long holiday. Traders appear to be pricing in a typical holiday lift that has historically supported similar tentpoles, while the slim odds on sub-$15 million outcomes reflect the low likelihood of an abrupt collapse given current trajectory and positive word-of-mouth.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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