Recent polling aggregates place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with August surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, YouGov, and others showing figures between 33% and 40% amid net ratings near -20 to -26. Persistent economic headwinds, including record-low marks on prices and inflation, combined with lingering effects from the Iran conflict and related energy-market strains, have weighed on support and reduced the intensity of Republican backing. The tight clustering of probabilities around 38–39% reflects modest week-to-week stability in these readings, while any fresh data releases, diplomatic signals, or economic indicators in the final days before September 4 could widen or narrow the favored bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour38,5–38,9 32%
38,0–38,4 29%
39,0+ 22%
37,5–37,9 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 sept. 2026
<37,0
3%
37,0–37,4
5%
37,5–37,9
17%
38,0–38,4
29%
38,5–38,9
32%
39,0+
22%
38,5–38,9 32%
38,0–38,4 29%
39,0+ 22%
37,5–37,9 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 sept. 2026
<37,0
$41 Vol.
3%
37,0–37,4
$21 Vol.
5%
37,5–37,9
$98 Vol.
17%
38,0–38,4
$21 Vol.
29%
38,5–38,9
$176 Vol.
32%
39,0+
$26 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with August surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, YouGov, and others showing figures between 33% and 40% amid net ratings near -20 to -26. Persistent economic headwinds, including record-low marks on prices and inflation, combined with lingering effects from the Iran conflict and related energy-market strains, have weighed on support and reduced the intensity of Republican backing. The tight clustering of probabilities around 38–39% reflects modest week-to-week stability in these readings, while any fresh data releases, diplomatic signals, or economic indicators in the final days before September 4 could widen or narrow the favored bins.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$382Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with August surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, YouGov, and others showing figures between 33% and 40% amid net ratings near -20 to -26. Persistent economic headwinds, including record-low marks on prices and inflation, combined with lingering effects from the Iran conflict and related energy-market strains, have weighed on support and reduced the intensity of Republican backing. The tight clustering of probabilities around 38–39% reflects modest week-to-week stability in these readings, while any fresh data releases, diplomatic signals, or economic indicators in the final days before September 4 could widen or narrow the favored bins.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$382Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with August surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, YouGov, and others showing figures between 33% and 40% amid net ratings near -20 to -26. Persistent economic headwinds, including record-low marks on prices and inflation, combined with lingering effects from the Iran conflict and related energy-market strains, have weighed on support and reduced the intensity of Republican backing. The tight clustering of probabilities around 38–39% reflects modest week-to-week stability in these readings, while any fresh data releases, diplomatic signals, or economic indicators in the final days before September 4 could widen or narrow the favored bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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