The Trump administration’s January 2026 executive order imposing an oil blockade and tariffs on third-country suppliers, following the U.S. capture of Venezuelan leader Maduro, sharply escalated pressure on Cuba’s energy sector and prompted Cuban confirmation of talks by mid-March. Multiple U.S. delegations met Cuban officials in Havana during April and May, including State Department representatives and CIA Director John Ratcliffe, while military-to-military contacts occurred near Guantánamo in July. Cuban Foreign Minister Bruno Rodríguez stated in late June that discussions showed no progress toward lifting sanctions. These verified engagements and stalled outcomes shape trader assessments of whether additional high-level diplomatic meetings will occur within the market’s resolution window, alongside ongoing U.S. demands on security cooperation and Cuban insistence on unconditional relief from the blockade.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$35,061 Vol.
31 août 2026
31 août
14%
31 octobre
40%
$35,061 Vol.
31 août
$53 Vol.
14%
31 octobre
$9,027 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration’s January 2026 executive order imposing an oil blockade and tariffs on third-country suppliers, following the U.S. capture of Venezuelan leader Maduro, sharply escalated pressure on Cuba’s energy sector and prompted Cuban confirmation of talks by mid-March. Multiple U.S. delegations met Cuban officials in Havana during April and May, including State Department representatives and CIA Director John Ratcliffe, while military-to-military contacts occurred near Guantánamo in July. Cuban Foreign Minister Bruno Rodríguez stated in late June that discussions showed no progress toward lifting sanctions. These verified engagements and stalled outcomes shape trader assessments of whether additional high-level diplomatic meetings will occur within the market’s resolution window, alongside ongoing U.S. demands on security cooperation and Cuban insistence on unconditional relief from the blockade.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jul 21, 2026, 11:07 AM ET
Volume
$35,061Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 21, 2026, 11:07 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration’s January 2026 executive order imposing an oil blockade and tariffs on third-country suppliers, following the U.S. capture of Venezuelan leader Maduro, sharply escalated pressure on Cuba’s energy sector and prompted Cuban confirmation of talks by mid-March. Multiple U.S. delegations met Cuban officials in Havana during April and May, including State Department representatives and CIA Director John Ratcliffe, while military-to-military contacts occurred near Guantánamo in July. Cuban Foreign Minister Bruno Rodríguez stated in late June that discussions showed no progress toward lifting sanctions. These verified engagements and stalled outcomes shape trader assessments of whether additional high-level diplomatic meetings will occur within the market’s resolution window, alongside ongoing U.S. demands on security cooperation and Cuban insistence on unconditional relief from the blockade.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$35,061Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 21, 2026, 11:07 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration’s January 2026 executive order imposing an oil blockade and tariffs on third-country suppliers, following the U.S. capture of Venezuelan leader Maduro, sharply escalated pressure on Cuba’s energy sector and prompted Cuban confirmation of talks by mid-March. Multiple U.S. delegations met Cuban officials in Havana during April and May, including State Department representatives and CIA Director John Ratcliffe, while military-to-military contacts occurred near Guantánamo in July. Cuban Foreign Minister Bruno Rodríguez stated in late June that discussions showed no progress toward lifting sanctions. These verified engagements and stalled outcomes shape trader assessments of whether additional high-level diplomatic meetings will occur within the market’s resolution window, alongside ongoing U.S. demands on security cooperation and Cuban insistence on unconditional relief from the blockade.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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