US pressure on Cuba intensified after the January 2026 US intervention in Venezuela that removed Nicolás Maduro, triggering an oil blockade that cut off Venezuelan and Mexican fuel shipments and produced severe shortages, blackouts, and economic strain on the island. The Trump administration followed with executive orders imposing tariffs on third-country oil suppliers, expanded sanctions, increased reconnaissance flights, and deployment of the USS Nimitz carrier strike group plus Marine units to the Caribbean. Pentagon planners have examined contingency options ranging from limited strikes to air assaults, while senior officials have issued public warnings about Cuban drone acquisitions and ties to Russia and Iran. No military operations have occurred to date, however, and assessments indicate action is unlikely before the November 2026 midterm elections due to political and resource constraints amid the ongoing Iran situation. Traders are therefore focused on whether negotiations yield a leadership transition or whether post-election military planning advances.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAction militaire américaine contre Cuba par... ?
$7,257,961 Vol.
31 décembre
20%
$7,257,961 Vol.
31 décembre
20%
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US pressure on Cuba intensified after the January 2026 US intervention in Venezuela that removed Nicolás Maduro, triggering an oil blockade that cut off Venezuelan and Mexican fuel shipments and produced severe shortages, blackouts, and economic strain on the island. The Trump administration followed with executive orders imposing tariffs on third-country oil suppliers, expanded sanctions, increased reconnaissance flights, and deployment of the USS Nimitz carrier strike group plus Marine units to the Caribbean. Pentagon planners have examined contingency options ranging from limited strikes to air assaults, while senior officials have issued public warnings about Cuban drone acquisitions and ties to Russia and Iran. No military operations have occurred to date, however, and assessments indicate action is unlikely before the November 2026 midterm elections due to political and resource constraints amid the ongoing Iran situation. Traders are therefore focused on whether negotiations yield a leadership transition or whether post-election military planning advances.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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