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icon for Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

icon for Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

50% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
50% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
On July 7, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 12, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2074548242386178258). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces a qualifying extension of access to "Claude Fable 5" beyond July 12, 2026, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying extension requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An extension covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify. The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Anthropic's recent redeployment of Claude Fable 5 on July 1 after U.S. export controls lifted has created a tight 50% market on further paid-plan inclusion extensions by July 12.** The model, Anthropic's most capable generally available large language model with strong performance in coding and knowledge work, was initially bundled through June 22, then shifted to usage credits before the July 1 restoration limited it to 50% of weekly plan allowances through July 7. High user demand, capacity constraints, and prior staged rollouts have kept sentiment balanced, with traders watching for any official announcement on sustained subsidized access versus full credit-based pricing at $10/$50 per million tokens. Capacity gains or a new blog update in the next few days could quickly shift the closely contested odds.

On July 7, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 12, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2074548242386178258).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces a qualifying extension of access to "Claude Fable 5" beyond July 12, 2026, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A qualifying extension requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An extension covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify. The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
12 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 7, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
On July 7, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 12, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2074548242386178258). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces a qualifying extension of access to "Claude Fable 5" beyond July 12, 2026, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying extension requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An extension covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify. The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
On July 7, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 12, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2074548242386178258). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces a qualifying extension of access to "Claude Fable 5" beyond July 12, 2026, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying extension requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An extension covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify. The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Anthropic's recent redeployment of Claude Fable 5 on July 1 after U.S. export controls lifted has created a tight 50% market on further paid-plan inclusion extensions by July 12.** The model, Anthropic's most capable generally available large language model with strong performance in coding and knowledge work, was initially bundled through June 22, then shifted to usage credits before the July 1 restoration limited it to 50% of weekly plan allowances through July 7. High user demand, capacity constraints, and prior staged rollouts have kept sentiment balanced, with traders watching for any official announcement on sustained subsidized access versus full credit-based pricing at $10/$50 per million tokens. Capacity gains or a new blog update in the next few days could quickly shift the closely contested odds.

On July 7, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 12, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2074548242386178258).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces a qualifying extension of access to "Claude Fable 5" beyond July 12, 2026, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A qualifying extension requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An extension covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify. The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
12 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 7, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
On July 7, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 12, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2074548242386178258). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces a qualifying extension of access to "Claude Fable 5" beyond July 12, 2026, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying extension requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An extension covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify. The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 50% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 50¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 50% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jul 7, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12? » est de 50% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 50% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.