Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole have lifted odds of a September rate hike, widening the policy gap to roughly 138 basis points with the ECB deposit rate at 2.25% versus the Fed funds midpoint near 3.625%. This divergence, alongside resilient U.S. data and euro-area inflation near 2.9%, has driven EUR/USD lower from 1.17 highs to around 1.158 as of late August 2026. Traders price modest further ECB tightening against potential U.S. easing later, though upcoming September jobs and CPI releases could shift the implied rate path and volatility. The pair’s direction through year-end hinges on whether this spread narrows or widens amid energy prices and growth differentials.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$89,211 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
↑ 1,40
3%
↑ 1,35
4%
↑ 1,30
7%
↑ 1,26
7%
↑ 1,24
9%
↑ 1,22
39%
↑ 1,20
42%
↓ 1,12
28%
↓ 1,10
27%
↓ 1,05
7%
↓ 1,00
4%
$89,211 Vol.
↑ 1,40
$2,114 Vol.
3%
↑ 1,35
$1,579 Vol.
4%
↑ 1,30
$901 Vol.
7%
↑ 1,26
$3,132 Vol.
7%
↑ 1,24
$2,438 Vol.
9%
↑ 1,22
$419 Vol.
39%
↑ 1,20
$41,014 Vol.
42%
↓ 1,12
$2,826 Vol.
28%
↓ 1,10
$3,945 Vol.
27%
↓ 1,05
$6,363 Vol.
7%
↓ 1,00
$4,490 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole have lifted odds of a September rate hike, widening the policy gap to roughly 138 basis points with the ECB deposit rate at 2.25% versus the Fed funds midpoint near 3.625%. This divergence, alongside resilient U.S. data and euro-area inflation near 2.9%, has driven EUR/USD lower from 1.17 highs to around 1.158 as of late August 2026. Traders price modest further ECB tightening against potential U.S. easing later, though upcoming September jobs and CPI releases could shift the implied rate path and volatility. The pair’s direction through year-end hinges on whether this spread narrows or widens amid energy prices and growth differentials.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Marché ouvert : Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Volume
$89,211Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole have lifted odds of a September rate hike, widening the policy gap to roughly 138 basis points with the ECB deposit rate at 2.25% versus the Fed funds midpoint near 3.625%. This divergence, alongside resilient U.S. data and euro-area inflation near 2.9%, has driven EUR/USD lower from 1.17 highs to around 1.158 as of late August 2026. Traders price modest further ECB tightening against potential U.S. easing later, though upcoming September jobs and CPI releases could shift the implied rate path and volatility. The pair’s direction through year-end hinges on whether this spread narrows or widens amid energy prices and growth differentials.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Volume
$89,211Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole have lifted odds of a September rate hike, widening the policy gap to roughly 138 basis points with the ECB deposit rate at 2.25% versus the Fed funds midpoint near 3.625%. This divergence, alongside resilient U.S. data and euro-area inflation near 2.9%, has driven EUR/USD lower from 1.17 highs to around 1.158 as of late August 2026. Traders price modest further ECB tightening against potential U.S. easing later, though upcoming September jobs and CPI releases could shift the implied rate path and volatility. The pair’s direction through year-end hinges on whether this spread narrows or widens amid energy prices and growth differentials.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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