Current U.S. retail gasoline prices average approximately $4.07 per gallon as of mid-August 2026, according to AAA data, after climbing from around $4.00 earlier in the month amid renewed geopolitical tensions involving Iran and supply disruptions. Crude oil benchmarks have risen on fears of tighter global supply through the Strait of Hormuz, while domestic refinery utilization and seasonal summer demand have supported the recent rebound to record seasonal highs. Weekly EIA inventory reports and any escalation in Middle East developments represent the key near-term catalysts that could influence whether prices test higher thresholds before month-end, with traders monitoring Treasury yields and broader risk sentiment for clues on demand elasticity. Market-implied probabilities reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on these macro and energy-specific variables.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
31 août 2026
↑ 5,00 $
7%
↑ 4,75 $
2%
↑ 4,50 $
13%
↑ 4,25 $
22%
↓ 3,90 $
21%
↓ 3,70 $
10%
↓ 3,50 $
5%
↓ 3,25 $
3%
↓ 3,00 $
9%
↓ 2,50 $
2%
$8,825 Vol.
↑ 5,00 $
$2,363 Vol.
7%
↑ 4,75 $
$297 Vol.
2%
↑ 4,50 $
$2,105 Vol.
13%
↑ 4,25 $
$1,585 Vol.
22%
↓ 3,90 $
$487 Vol.
21%
↓ 3,70 $
$1,502 Vol.
10%
↓ 3,50 $
$155 Vol.
5%
↓ 3,25 $
$18 Vol.
3%
↓ 3,00 $
$79 Vol.
9%
↓ 2,50 $
$235 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Current U.S. retail gasoline prices average approximately $4.07 per gallon as of mid-August 2026, according to AAA data, after climbing from around $4.00 earlier in the month amid renewed geopolitical tensions involving Iran and supply disruptions. Crude oil benchmarks have risen on fears of tighter global supply through the Strait of Hormuz, while domestic refinery utilization and seasonal summer demand have supported the recent rebound to record seasonal highs. Weekly EIA inventory reports and any escalation in Middle East developments represent the key near-term catalysts that could influence whether prices test higher thresholds before month-end, with traders monitoring Treasury yields and broader risk sentiment for clues on demand elasticity. Market-implied probabilities reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on these macro and energy-specific variables.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Marché ouvert : Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
Volume
$8,825Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETSource de résolution
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Current U.S. retail gasoline prices average approximately $4.07 per gallon as of mid-August 2026, according to AAA data, after climbing from around $4.00 earlier in the month amid renewed geopolitical tensions involving Iran and supply disruptions. Crude oil benchmarks have risen on fears of tighter global supply through the Strait of Hormuz, while domestic refinery utilization and seasonal summer demand have supported the recent rebound to record seasonal highs. Weekly EIA inventory reports and any escalation in Middle East developments represent the key near-term catalysts that could influence whether prices test higher thresholds before month-end, with traders monitoring Treasury yields and broader risk sentiment for clues on demand elasticity. Market-implied probabilities reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on these macro and energy-specific variables.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$8,825Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETSource de résolution
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Current U.S. retail gasoline prices average approximately $4.07 per gallon as of mid-August 2026, according to AAA data, after climbing from around $4.00 earlier in the month amid renewed geopolitical tensions involving Iran and supply disruptions. Crude oil benchmarks have risen on fears of tighter global supply through the Strait of Hormuz, while domestic refinery utilization and seasonal summer demand have supported the recent rebound to record seasonal highs. Weekly EIA inventory reports and any escalation in Middle East developments represent the key near-term catalysts that could influence whether prices test higher thresholds before month-end, with traders monitoring Treasury yields and broader risk sentiment for clues on demand elasticity. Market-implied probabilities reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on these macro and energy-specific variables.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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