Ongoing military confrontations, including the 2025 twelve-day war and 2026 US-Israel-Iran clashes with strikes on nuclear and military sites, sustain the absence of formal diplomatic relations severed since the 1979 Iranian Revolution. Ceasefires and interim MOUs have addressed issues like the Strait of Hormuz but left core disputes over Iran's nuclear program, ballistic missiles, and regional proxies unresolved, with neither side advancing normalization steps. This entrenched pattern of hostility and lack of bilateral engagement anchors trader consensus against an Israeli embassy reopening in Tehran by year-end. A durable settlement or unexpected leadership shifts could theoretically alter trajectories, though such developments remain distant within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourIsraël rouvrira-t-il son ambassade en Iran en 2026 ?
Israël rouvrira-t-il son ambassade en Iran en 2026 ?
Oui
1% chance
$194,111 Vol.
$194,111 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
Oui
1% chance
$194,111 Vol.
$194,111 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing military confrontations, including the 2025 twelve-day war and 2026 US-Israel-Iran clashes with strikes on nuclear and military sites, sustain the absence of formal diplomatic relations severed since the 1979 Iranian Revolution. Ceasefires and interim MOUs have addressed issues like the Strait of Hormuz but left core disputes over Iran's nuclear program, ballistic missiles, and regional proxies unresolved, with neither side advancing normalization steps. This entrenched pattern of hostility and lack of bilateral engagement anchors trader consensus against an Israeli embassy reopening in Tehran by year-end. A durable settlement or unexpected leadership shifts could theoretically alter trajectories, though such developments remain distant within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
Volume
$194,111Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing military confrontations, including the 2025 twelve-day war and 2026 US-Israel-Iran clashes with strikes on nuclear and military sites, sustain the absence of formal diplomatic relations severed since the 1979 Iranian Revolution. Ceasefires and interim MOUs have addressed issues like the Strait of Hormuz but left core disputes over Iran's nuclear program, ballistic missiles, and regional proxies unresolved, with neither side advancing normalization steps. This entrenched pattern of hostility and lack of bilateral engagement anchors trader consensus against an Israeli embassy reopening in Tehran by year-end. A durable settlement or unexpected leadership shifts could theoretically alter trajectories, though such developments remain distant within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$194,111Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing military confrontations, including the 2025 twelve-day war and 2026 US-Israel-Iran clashes with strikes on nuclear and military sites, sustain the absence of formal diplomatic relations severed since the 1979 Iranian Revolution. Ceasefires and interim MOUs have addressed issues like the Strait of Hormuz but left core disputes over Iran's nuclear program, ballistic missiles, and regional proxies unresolved, with neither side advancing normalization steps. This entrenched pattern of hostility and lack of bilateral engagement anchors trader consensus against an Israeli embassy reopening in Tehran by year-end. A durable settlement or unexpected leadership shifts could theoretically alter trajectories, though such developments remain distant within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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