High-pressure dominance and subsiding dry air across the Northeast have produced near-zero precipitation probabilities in National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Central Park on June 9, underpinning the 99.6% market-implied odds of no measurable rain. Surface observations and soundings indicate dew points remaining well below thresholds for convective initiation, with steering flow keeping any Atlantic moisture well offshore. While isolated pulse thunderstorms cannot be entirely ruled out in an unstable summer environment, the consistent model consensus and absence of forcing mechanisms make significant rainfall highly improbable ahead of the market’s resolution criteria.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVa-t-il pleuvoir à Central Park le 9 juin ?
Va-t-il pleuvoir à Central Park le 9 juin ?
Oui
$288 Vol.
$288 Vol.
9 juin 2026
Oui
$288 Vol.
$288 Vol.
9 juin 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on June 9, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.High-pressure dominance and subsiding dry air across the Northeast have produced near-zero precipitation probabilities in National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Central Park on June 9, underpinning the 99.6% market-implied odds of no measurable rain. Surface observations and soundings indicate dew points remaining well below thresholds for convective initiation, with steering flow keeping any Atlantic moisture well offshore. While isolated pulse thunderstorms cannot be entirely ruled out in an unstable summer environment, the consistent model consensus and absence of forcing mechanisms make significant rainfall highly improbable ahead of the market’s resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on June 9, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on June 9, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
Marché ouvert : Jun 8, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Volume
$288Date de fin
9 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 8, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on June 9, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.High-pressure dominance and subsiding dry air across the Northeast have produced near-zero precipitation probabilities in National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Central Park on June 9, underpinning the 99.6% market-implied odds of no measurable rain. Surface observations and soundings indicate dew points remaining well below thresholds for convective initiation, with steering flow keeping any Atlantic moisture well offshore. While isolated pulse thunderstorms cannot be entirely ruled out in an unstable summer environment, the consistent model consensus and absence of forcing mechanisms make significant rainfall highly improbable ahead of the market’s resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on June 9, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on June 9, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
Volume
$288Date de fin
9 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 8, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...High-pressure dominance and subsiding dry air across the Northeast have produced near-zero precipitation probabilities in National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Central Park on June 9, underpinning the 99.6% market-implied odds of no measurable rain. Surface observations and soundings indicate dew points remaining well below thresholds for convective initiation, with steering flow keeping any Atlantic moisture well offshore. While isolated pulse thunderstorms cannot be entirely ruled out in an unstable summer environment, the consistent model consensus and absence of forcing mechanisms make significant rainfall highly improbable ahead of the market’s resolution criteria.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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