OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's testimony on May 12 in Elon Musk's federal lawsuit against the company—alleging betrayal of its nonprofit AI safety mission—has driven Polymarket's "Yes" outcome to 100% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital. Altman defended OpenAI's for-profit restructuring, Microsoft's partnership, and rebutted Musk's claims of dishonesty, including Musk's reported demand for 90% equity control, sharpening the trial's focus on AI governance and competitive dynamics between OpenAI and xAI. With the witness appearance confirmed via court records and extensive media coverage, strong consensus stems from this verifiable event fulfilling market criteria. Realistic risks remain minimal but could include rare procedural motions to strike testimony or appeals altering resolution amid the ongoing Oakland trial.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$13,377 Vol.
$13,377 Vol.
Oui
$13,377 Vol.
$13,377 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's testimony on May 12 in Elon Musk's federal lawsuit against the company—alleging betrayal of its nonprofit AI safety mission—has driven Polymarket's "Yes" outcome to 100% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital. Altman defended OpenAI's for-profit restructuring, Microsoft's partnership, and rebutted Musk's claims of dishonesty, including Musk's reported demand for 90% equity control, sharpening the trial's focus on AI governance and competitive dynamics between OpenAI and xAI. With the witness appearance confirmed via court records and extensive media coverage, strong consensus stems from this verifiable event fulfilling market criteria. Realistic risks remain minimal but could include rare procedural motions to strike testimony or appeals altering resolution amid the ongoing Oakland trial.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
Volume
$13,377Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's testimony on May 12 in Elon Musk's federal lawsuit against the company—alleging betrayal of its nonprofit AI safety mission—has driven Polymarket's "Yes" outcome to 100% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital. Altman defended OpenAI's for-profit restructuring, Microsoft's partnership, and rebutted Musk's claims of dishonesty, including Musk's reported demand for 90% equity control, sharpening the trial's focus on AI governance and competitive dynamics between OpenAI and xAI. With the witness appearance confirmed via court records and extensive media coverage, strong consensus stems from this verifiable event fulfilling market criteria. Realistic risks remain minimal but could include rare procedural motions to strike testimony or appeals altering resolution amid the ongoing Oakland trial.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,377Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's testimony on May 12 in Elon Musk's federal lawsuit against the company—alleging betrayal of its nonprofit AI safety mission—has driven Polymarket's "Yes" outcome to 100% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital. Altman defended OpenAI's for-profit restructuring, Microsoft's partnership, and rebutted Musk's claims of dishonesty, including Musk's reported demand for 90% equity control, sharpening the trial's focus on AI governance and competitive dynamics between OpenAI and xAI. With the witness appearance confirmed via court records and extensive media coverage, strong consensus stems from this verifiable event fulfilling market criteria. Realistic risks remain minimal but could include rare procedural motions to strike testimony or appeals altering resolution amid the ongoing Oakland trial.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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