U.S. military forces conducted strikes and a special operations raid in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and prompting Delcy Rodríguez to assume the role of acting president under significant Washington influence. Diplomatic relations were restored in March, sanctions on oil trade eased, and the Rodríguez government has coordinated with U.S. officials on finance, foreign policy, and resource management. A June 2026 earthquake near Caracas worsened the humanitarian situation and strained the interim administration’s capacity. These events have shifted focus from potential escalation to post-intervention stabilization, with any future military action now tied to specific triggers such as renewed instability, opposition dynamics, or policy reversals within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLes États-Unis vont-ils envahir le Venezuela par... ?
Les États-Unis vont-ils envahir le Venezuela par... ?
$14,192,785 Vol.
31 mars 2026
31 décembre
5%
$14,192,785 Vol.
31 décembre
$236,777 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.U.S. military forces conducted strikes and a special operations raid in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and prompting Delcy Rodríguez to assume the role of acting president under significant Washington influence. Diplomatic relations were restored in March, sanctions on oil trade eased, and the Rodríguez government has coordinated with U.S. officials on finance, foreign policy, and resource management. A June 2026 earthquake near Caracas worsened the humanitarian situation and strained the interim administration’s capacity. These events have shifted focus from potential escalation to post-intervention stabilization, with any future military action now tied to specific triggers such as renewed instability, opposition dynamics, or policy reversals within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
Volume
$14,192,785Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.U.S. military forces conducted strikes and a special operations raid in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and prompting Delcy Rodríguez to assume the role of acting president under significant Washington influence. Diplomatic relations were restored in March, sanctions on oil trade eased, and the Rodríguez government has coordinated with U.S. officials on finance, foreign policy, and resource management. A June 2026 earthquake near Caracas worsened the humanitarian situation and strained the interim administration’s capacity. These events have shifted focus from potential escalation to post-intervention stabilization, with any future military action now tied to specific triggers such as renewed instability, opposition dynamics, or policy reversals within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Volume
$14,192,785Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. military forces conducted strikes and a special operations raid in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and prompting Delcy Rodríguez to assume the role of acting president under significant Washington influence. Diplomatic relations were restored in March, sanctions on oil trade eased, and the Rodríguez government has coordinated with U.S. officials on finance, foreign policy, and resource management. A June 2026 earthquake near Caracas worsened the humanitarian situation and strained the interim administration’s capacity. These events have shifted focus from potential escalation to post-intervention stabilization, with any future military action now tied to specific triggers such as renewed instability, opposition dynamics, or policy reversals within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes