The trader consensus assigning just a 9.5 percent chance of a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell by the end of 2026 stems from the absence of any formal clemency request or Department of Justice review more than sixteen months into the administration. Maxwell’s February 2026 appeal offering Epstein-related testimony prompted limited congressional discussion, yet House Oversight Republicans remain divided and Democrats have introduced resolutions opposing any relief. Trump’s prior statements that he has “not thought about” the matter and would consult the Justice Department have not translated into action, while Maxwell’s attorney noted in April that political timing remains unfavorable amid Epstein-file scrutiny. Significant bipartisan resistance and expected backlash from survivors continue to outweigh any conditional cooperation arguments, leaving the White House focused on lower-risk priorities through 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$552,038 Vol.
$552,038 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$552,038 Vol.
$552,038 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The trader consensus assigning just a 9.5 percent chance of a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell by the end of 2026 stems from the absence of any formal clemency request or Department of Justice review more than sixteen months into the administration. Maxwell’s February 2026 appeal offering Epstein-related testimony prompted limited congressional discussion, yet House Oversight Republicans remain divided and Democrats have introduced resolutions opposing any relief. Trump’s prior statements that he has “not thought about” the matter and would consult the Justice Department have not translated into action, while Maxwell’s attorney noted in April that political timing remains unfavorable amid Epstein-file scrutiny. Significant bipartisan resistance and expected backlash from survivors continue to outweigh any conditional cooperation arguments, leaving the White House focused on lower-risk priorities through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
Volume
$552,038Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The trader consensus assigning just a 9.5 percent chance of a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell by the end of 2026 stems from the absence of any formal clemency request or Department of Justice review more than sixteen months into the administration. Maxwell’s February 2026 appeal offering Epstein-related testimony prompted limited congressional discussion, yet House Oversight Republicans remain divided and Democrats have introduced resolutions opposing any relief. Trump’s prior statements that he has “not thought about” the matter and would consult the Justice Department have not translated into action, while Maxwell’s attorney noted in April that political timing remains unfavorable amid Epstein-file scrutiny. Significant bipartisan resistance and expected backlash from survivors continue to outweigh any conditional cooperation arguments, leaving the White House focused on lower-risk priorities through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$552,038Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...The trader consensus assigning just a 9.5 percent chance of a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell by the end of 2026 stems from the absence of any formal clemency request or Department of Justice review more than sixteen months into the administration. Maxwell’s February 2026 appeal offering Epstein-related testimony prompted limited congressional discussion, yet House Oversight Republicans remain divided and Democrats have introduced resolutions opposing any relief. Trump’s prior statements that he has “not thought about” the matter and would consult the Justice Department have not translated into action, while Maxwell’s attorney noted in April that political timing remains unfavorable amid Epstein-file scrutiny. Significant bipartisan resistance and expected backlash from survivors continue to outweigh any conditional cooperation arguments, leaving the White House focused on lower-risk priorities through 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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