Trump has repeatedly stated he holds authority to grant clemency to Ghislaine Maxwell but has not been formally approached and described discussion as currently inappropriate, while declining to rule it out entirely. A unanimous Senate resolution passed in late July 2026 explicitly opposed any pardon or commutation, reflecting broad bipartisan resistance tied to Maxwell’s 20-year sentence for sex trafficking minors linked to Jeffrey Epstein. Administration priorities emphasizing sex-trafficking enforcement, combined with ongoing scrutiny over Epstein-related document releases and prison transfers, have reinforced the political costs. Trader consensus at 93.5% against a pardon by end of 2026 aligns with these institutional and public barriers, though the president retains unilateral power through the remainder of the term.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
7% chance
$745,044 Vol.
$745,044 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
7% chance
$745,044 Vol.
$745,044 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has repeatedly stated he holds authority to grant clemency to Ghislaine Maxwell but has not been formally approached and described discussion as currently inappropriate, while declining to rule it out entirely. A unanimous Senate resolution passed in late July 2026 explicitly opposed any pardon or commutation, reflecting broad bipartisan resistance tied to Maxwell’s 20-year sentence for sex trafficking minors linked to Jeffrey Epstein. Administration priorities emphasizing sex-trafficking enforcement, combined with ongoing scrutiny over Epstein-related document releases and prison transfers, have reinforced the political costs. Trader consensus at 93.5% against a pardon by end of 2026 aligns with these institutional and public barriers, though the president retains unilateral power through the remainder of the term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
Volume
$745,044Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has repeatedly stated he holds authority to grant clemency to Ghislaine Maxwell but has not been formally approached and described discussion as currently inappropriate, while declining to rule it out entirely. A unanimous Senate resolution passed in late July 2026 explicitly opposed any pardon or commutation, reflecting broad bipartisan resistance tied to Maxwell’s 20-year sentence for sex trafficking minors linked to Jeffrey Epstein. Administration priorities emphasizing sex-trafficking enforcement, combined with ongoing scrutiny over Epstein-related document releases and prison transfers, have reinforced the political costs. Trader consensus at 93.5% against a pardon by end of 2026 aligns with these institutional and public barriers, though the president retains unilateral power through the remainder of the term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$745,044Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Trump has repeatedly stated he holds authority to grant clemency to Ghislaine Maxwell but has not been formally approached and described discussion as currently inappropriate, while declining to rule it out entirely. A unanimous Senate resolution passed in late July 2026 explicitly opposed any pardon or commutation, reflecting broad bipartisan resistance tied to Maxwell’s 20-year sentence for sex trafficking minors linked to Jeffrey Epstein. Administration priorities emphasizing sex-trafficking enforcement, combined with ongoing scrutiny over Epstein-related document releases and prison transfers, have reinforced the political costs. Trader consensus at 93.5% against a pardon by end of 2026 aligns with these institutional and public barriers, though the president retains unilateral power through the remainder of the term.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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