Recent Republican Party of Wisconsin endorsement at its May 2026 state convention, combined with prior backing from President Trump and former Governor Tommy Thompson, has consolidated support behind U.S. Representative Tom Tiffany in the August 11 primary. Polling from Marquette University and others shows him leading fragmented challengers such as Andy Manske by wide margins, reflecting unified donor, activist, and institutional alignment in a low-turnout contest. Trader consensus prices this dominance at 90.5 percent, consistent with historical patterns where early frontrunners with broad endorsements rarely face late reversals. A major scandal or unexpected high-profile entry could still shift probabilities before the primary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTom Tiffany 91%
Andy Manske 4.4%
Tommy Thompson 1.9%
Josh Schoemann 1.4%
$82,422 Vol.
$82,422 Vol.
Tom Tiffany
91%
Andy Manske
4%
Tommy Thompson
2%
Josh Schoemann
1%
Tim Michels
1%
Rebecca Kleefisch
1%
Eric Hovde
1%
Sean Duffy
<1%
Tom Tiffany 91%
Andy Manske 4.4%
Tommy Thompson 1.9%
Josh Schoemann 1.4%
$82,422 Vol.
$82,422 Vol.
Tom Tiffany
91%
Andy Manske
4%
Tommy Thompson
2%
Josh Schoemann
1%
Tim Michels
1%
Rebecca Kleefisch
1%
Eric Hovde
1%
Sean Duffy
<1%
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Republican Party of Wisconsin endorsement at its May 2026 state convention, combined with prior backing from President Trump and former Governor Tommy Thompson, has consolidated support behind U.S. Representative Tom Tiffany in the August 11 primary. Polling from Marquette University and others shows him leading fragmented challengers such as Andy Manske by wide margins, reflecting unified donor, activist, and institutional alignment in a low-turnout contest. Trader consensus prices this dominance at 90.5 percent, consistent with historical patterns where early frontrunners with broad endorsements rarely face late reversals. A major scandal or unexpected high-profile entry could still shift probabilities before the primary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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