**Özgür Özel, leader of Turkey’s main opposition CHP, faces sustained judicial and political pressure but no active detention process that would trigger arrest before June 30.** A May 2026 appeals court ruling annulled the 2023 CHP congress, ousting Özel and installing Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu as interim leader, while related probes led to detentions of party figures over alleged congress irregularities. Separate 2025 investigations into remarks deemed insulting to the president continue, alongside efforts to lift parliamentary immunity, yet these have not produced imminent custody orders. Recent June 2026 moves by Özel’s allies to force an extraordinary congress highlight internal party maneuvering rather than immediate legal escalation. Trader consensus at 97.6% for “No” reflects the absence of verified arrest warrants or rapid procedural triggers in the narrow remaining window. Late developments such as an unexpected immunity vote, new charges, or enforcement action tied to existing probes could still alter the outcome before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÖzgür Özel arrested by June 30?
Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?
$28,925 Vol.
$28,925 Vol.
30 juin 2026
$28,925 Vol.
$28,925 Vol.
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Özgür Özel, leader of Turkey’s main opposition CHP, faces sustained judicial and political pressure but no active detention process that would trigger arrest before June 30.** A May 2026 appeals court ruling annulled the 2023 CHP congress, ousting Özel and installing Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu as interim leader, while related probes led to detentions of party figures over alleged congress irregularities. Separate 2025 investigations into remarks deemed insulting to the president continue, alongside efforts to lift parliamentary immunity, yet these have not produced imminent custody orders. Recent June 2026 moves by Özel’s allies to force an extraordinary congress highlight internal party maneuvering rather than immediate legal escalation. Trader consensus at 97.6% for “No” reflects the absence of verified arrest warrants or rapid procedural triggers in the narrow remaining window. Late developments such as an unexpected immunity vote, new charges, or enforcement action tied to existing probes could still alter the outcome before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ET
Volume
$28,925Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Özgür Özel, leader of Turkey’s main opposition CHP, faces sustained judicial and political pressure but no active detention process that would trigger arrest before June 30.** A May 2026 appeals court ruling annulled the 2023 CHP congress, ousting Özel and installing Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu as interim leader, while related probes led to detentions of party figures over alleged congress irregularities. Separate 2025 investigations into remarks deemed insulting to the president continue, alongside efforts to lift parliamentary immunity, yet these have not produced imminent custody orders. Recent June 2026 moves by Özel’s allies to force an extraordinary congress highlight internal party maneuvering rather than immediate legal escalation. Trader consensus at 97.6% for “No” reflects the absence of verified arrest warrants or rapid procedural triggers in the narrow remaining window. Late developments such as an unexpected immunity vote, new charges, or enforcement action tied to existing probes could still alter the outcome before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,925Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Özgür Özel, leader of Turkey’s main opposition CHP, faces sustained judicial and political pressure but no active detention process that would trigger arrest before June 30.** A May 2026 appeals court ruling annulled the 2023 CHP congress, ousting Özel and installing Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu as interim leader, while related probes led to detentions of party figures over alleged congress irregularities. Separate 2025 investigations into remarks deemed insulting to the president continue, alongside efforts to lift parliamentary immunity, yet these have not produced imminent custody orders. Recent June 2026 moves by Özel’s allies to force an extraordinary congress highlight internal party maneuvering rather than immediate legal escalation. Trader consensus at 97.6% for “No” reflects the absence of verified arrest warrants or rapid procedural triggers in the narrow remaining window. Late developments such as an unexpected immunity vote, new charges, or enforcement action tied to existing probes could still alter the outcome before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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